Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 26
- Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT, RedeTV! |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8 |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Papua-new-guinea | TVWan Sports |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (548/624) | 66% (147/222) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (548/624) | 66% (147/222) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 49% (31/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (112/155) | 51% (40/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 0% (0/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Kohn D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Holer L. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
- 64', Ansah I. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
- 64', Skarke T. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
- 77', Scherhant D. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
- 77', Irie C. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
- 80', Trimmel C. ↓, Juranovic J. ↑,
- 80', Haberer J. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
- 86', Makengo J. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
- 87', Burcu L. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 1, Jeong Woo-Yeong ⚽, Nsoki S. (A),
- 90+3', Burcu L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Freiburg
49.5% | Draw
26.9% | Union Berlin
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Freiburg - Union Berlin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.14) |
3.53 ↑
(3.36) |
4.06 ↑
(3.48) |
4.6%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Union Berlin?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 26 - 72.2%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 57.6% – 86.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - Union Berlin (3.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB, 2nd Half - Freiburg (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Union Berlin (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Freiburg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 7 - 70%). Union Berlin (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 0.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Freiburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Union Berlin?
Freiburg has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Freiburg?
Union Berlin has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Union Berlin were as follows:
01.11.2025
Union Berlin
-
Freiburg
0:0
30.03.2025
Freiburg
-
Union Berlin
1:2
08.11.2024
Union Berlin
-
Freiburg
0:0
18.05.2024
Union Berlin
-
Freiburg
2:1
13.01.2024
Freiburg
-
Union Berlin
0:0
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Union Berlin
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 105:27 | 78 | 76 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60:29 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60:38 | 22 | 56 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 59:39 | 20 | 52 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57:43 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 54:54 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 9 | Mainz | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 36:53 | -17 | 33 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:52 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 39:65 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:64 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
