Freiburg vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg).

Bundesliga - Round 26
Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Brazil	Canal GOAT, RedeTV!
Bulgaria	Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.10	0.54
Ball possession
73%	27%
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
6	4
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
6	2
Passes
88% (548/624)	66% (147/222)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.10	0.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.83	0.91
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked shots
7	1
Shots inside the box
11	7
Shots outside the box
8	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
24	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	4
Free kicks
19	6
Passes
88% (548/624)	66% (147/222)
Long passes
31% (11/35)	49% (31/63)
Passes in final third
72% (112/155)	51% (40/78)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	0% (0/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.24	0.18
Throw ins
14	16
Fouls
6	19
Tackles
60% (9/15)	71% (15/21)
Duels won
55	55
Clearances
36	31
Interceptions
7	11
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	6
xGOT faced
0.91	0.83
Goals prevented
-0.09	0.83

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Kohn D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Holer L. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
64', Ansah I. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
64', Skarke T. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
77', Scherhant D. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
77', Irie C. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
80', Trimmel C. ↓, Juranovic J. ↑,
80', Haberer J. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
86', Makengo J. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
87', Burcu L. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 1, Jeong Woo-Yeong ⚽, Nsoki S. (A),
90+3', Burcu L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Freiburg
49.5%

Draw
26.9%

Union Berlin
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.3%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28.9%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Freiburg - Union Berlin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.14)	3.53 ↑ (3.36)	4.06 ↑ (3.48)	4.6% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Freiburg - Union Berlin?

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 26 - 72.2%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 57.6% – 86.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Union Berlin (3.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB, 2nd Half - Freiburg (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Union Berlin (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 7 - 70%). Union Berlin (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 0.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Freiburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Union Berlin?

Freiburg has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Freiburg?

Union Berlin has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Union Berlin were as follows:

01.11.2025 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:0

30.03.2025 Freiburg - Union Berlin 1:2

08.11.2024 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:0

18.05.2024 Union Berlin - Freiburg 2:1

13.01.2024 Freiburg - Union Berlin 0:0

Latest results of Freiburg

12.03.2026 Genk - Freiburg 1:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen 3:3 ✺

01.03.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg 2:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach 2:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Union Berlin

08.03.2026 Union Berlin - Werder Bremen 1:4 ✺

28.02.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin 1:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Hamburger SV - Union Berlin 3:2 ✺

06.02.2026 Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	27	22	4	1	97:25	72	70
2	Dortmund	27	18	7	2	58:28	30	61
3	Stuttgart	27	16	5	6	56:36	20	53
4	RB Leipzig	27	15	5	7	53:35	18	50
5	Hoffenheim	27	15	5	7	54:39	15	50
6	Bayer Leverkusen	27	13	7	7	52:36	16	46
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	27	10	8	9	50:51	-1	38
8	Freiburg	27	10	7	10	39:44	-5	37
9	Union Berlin	27	8	7	12	31:46	-15	31
10	Augsburg	27	9	4	14	33:50	-17	31
11	Mainz	27	7	9	11	33:42	-9	30
12	Hamburger SV	27	7	9	11	31:40	-9	30
13	B. Monchengladbach	27	7	8	12	33:46	-13	29
14	Werder Bremen	27	7	7	13	30:47	-17	28
15	FC Koln	27	6	8	13	38:47	-9	26
16	St. Pauli	27	6	6	15	24:44	-20	24
17	Wolfsburg	27	5	6	16	35:57	-22	21
18	Heidenheim	27	3	6	18	27:61	-34	15

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