Freiburg vs Union Berlin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg).

: Bundesliga - Round 27
Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.42	0.99
Ball Possession
72%	28%
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
84% (511/607)	68% (162/240)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42	0.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.44	1.14
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
5	6
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
26	15
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
11	8
Passes
84% (511/607)	68% (162/240)
Long passes
36% (17/47)	37% (23/63)
Passes in final third
60% (102/171)	49% (33/68)
Crosses
38% (14/37)	38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.49	0.70
Fouls
8	11
Tackles
70% (7/10)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
50	49
Clearances Total
24	63
Interceptions
3	11
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.14	1.44
Goals prevented
-0.86	0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
29', 1 - 0, Holer L. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Khedira R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Ilic A. ⚽, Skarke T. (A),
58', Holer L. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
58', Atubolu N. ↓, Muller F. ↑,
67', Gunter C. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
67', Sildillia K. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
68', Khedira R. 🟨,
69', Skarke T. ↓, Schafer A. ↑,
76', Ginter M. 🟨,
81', Ilic A. 🟨,
85', Ilic A. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
85', Hollerbach B. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
86', Haberer J. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
86', Eggestein M. ↓, Manzambi J. ↑,
88', Schafer A. 🟨,
89', Juranovic J. 🟨,
89', Manzambi J. 🟨,
90+6', Dinkci E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Freiburg
48.1%

Draw
27.9%

Union Berlin
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.5%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

27%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Freiburg - Union Berlin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.03)	3.44 ↓ (3.49)	4 ↑ (3.83)	4% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Freiburg - Union Berlin?

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (44 of 52 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 94.43%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 1.
Freiburg is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Union Berlin is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Freiburg will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rohl M. (Heel Injury)
There will not play in Union Berlin: Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Union Berlin: Schafer A. (Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17:26 (average 1.1:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.5:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Union Berlin?

Freiburg has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Freiburg?

Union Berlin has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Union Berlin were as follows:

08.11.2024 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:0

18.05.2024 Union Berlin - Freiburg 2:1

13.01.2024 Freiburg - Union Berlin 0:0

13.05.2023 Union Berlin - Freiburg 4:2

13.11.2022 Freiburg - Union Berlin 4:1

Latest results of Freiburg

15.03.2025 Mainz - Freiburg 2:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Augsburg - Freiburg 0:0 ✺

21.02.2025 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 5:0 ✺

15.02.2025 St. Pauli - Freiburg 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Union Berlin

15.03.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 6:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:2 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Freiburg - Union Berlin?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 6
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Nova Sport
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-america	ESPN 5 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball