Freiburg vs Werder Bremen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.460.83
Ball possession
33%67%
Total shots
717
Shots on target
25
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
48
Passes
73% (203/279)86% (481/557)
Yellow cards
01
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.460.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.93
Total shots
717
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
18
Shots inside the box
59
Shots outside the box
28
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1334
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
129
Passes
73% (203/279)86% (481/557)
Long passes
40% (18/45)56% (30/54)
Passes in final third
62% (65/105)82% (197/240)
Crosses
11% (2/19)23% (11/48)
Expected assists (xA)
0.281.62
Throw ins
1929
Fouls
912
Tackles
36% (4/11)47% (7/15)
Duels won
4944
Clearances
5323
Interceptions
1014
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
51
xGOT faced
0.931.19
Goals prevented
0.930.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Beste J. , Matanovic I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Manzambi J. 🟥,
  • 56', Grifo V. , Suzuki Y. ,
  • 62', Deman O. , Mbangula S. ,
  • 62', Malatini J. , Agu F. ,
  • 68', Beste J. , Jung A. ,
  • 68', Gunter C. , Makengo J. ,
  • 84', Osterhage P. , Scherhant D. ,
  • 84', Matanovic I. , Hofler N. ,
  • 84', Njinmah J. , Grull M. ,
  • 84', Schmid R. , Puertas C. ,
  • 88', Lynen S. , Milosevic J. ,
  • 90', Friedl M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Schuster J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
47.8%
Draw
26.1%
Werder Bremen
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 24% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 23.7% 21.4%

Freiburg - Werder Bremen Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2
(1.75)
3.65
(3.97)
3.67
(4.38)
4.7%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Werder Bremen?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Freiburg (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Werder (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Freiburg (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (52 of 62 users predict this - 83.87%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.71%93.03%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (33 of 35 users predict this - 94.29%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 40 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 37 - 92.5%). Werder (votes: 1 - 2.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.
    • In recent matches, Freiburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Werder has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Freiburg might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kubler L. (Hamstring Injury) Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lienhart P. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Werder: Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Pieper A. (Knee Injury) Stark N. (Lacking Match Fitness) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Werder Bremen were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 0:3
    21.02.2025 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 5:0
    05.10.2024 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 0:1
    27.01.2024 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 3:1
    26.08.2023 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 1:0
    Latest results of Freiburg
    01.02.2026 Stuttgart - Freiburg 1:0
    29.01.2026 Lille - Freiburg 1:0
    25.01.2026 Freiburg - Köln 2:1
    18.01.2026 Augsburg - Freiburg 2:2
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich21173179:196054
    2Dortmund21146143:202348
    3Hoffenheim21133544:281642
    4RB Leipzig21123640:281239
    5Stuttgart21123638:281039
    6Bayer Leverkusen20113639:271236
    7Freiburg2186732:33-130
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2177741:46-528
    9Union Berlin2167826:34-825
    10FC Koln21651030:34-423
    11Hamburger SV2057821:29-822
    12B. Monchengladbach2157925:34-922
    13Augsburg21641124:39-1522
    14Mainz21561025:33-821
    15Wolfsburg21541229:44-1519
    16Werder Bremen21471022:39-1719
    17St. Pauli21451220:35-1517
    18Heidenheim21341419:47-2813

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga