Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 21
- Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 1 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (203/279) | 86% (481/557) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (203/279) | 86% (481/557) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 56% (30/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (65/105) | 82% (197/240) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 23% (11/48) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Beste J. ⚽, Matanovic I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Manzambi J. 🟥,
- 56', Grifo V. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
- 62', Deman O. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
- 62', Malatini J. ↓, Agu F. ↑,
- 68', Beste J. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
- 68', Gunter C. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
- 84', Osterhage P. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
- 84', Matanovic I. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
- 84', Njinmah J. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
- 84', Schmid R. ↓, Puertas C. ↑,
- 88', Lynen S. ↓, Milosevic J. ↑,
- 90', Friedl M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Schuster J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Freiburg
47.8% | Draw
26.1% | Werder Bremen
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg's form might have worsened.Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Freiburg - Werder Bremen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.75) |
3.65 ↓
(3.97) |
3.67 ↓
(4.38) |
4.7%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Werder Bremen?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Freiburg (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Werder (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Freiburg (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Freiburg will win
(52 of 62 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.71% – 93.03%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (33 of 35 users predict this - 94.29%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 40 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 37 - 92.5%). Werder (votes: 1 - 2.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.
- In recent matches, Freiburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Werder has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Freiburg might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Freiburg: Kubler L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kyereh D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Lienhart P.
(Abdominal strain)
- There will not play in Werder: Boniface V.
(Knee Injury)
Pieper A.
(Knee Injury)
Stark N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Weiser M.
(Knee Injury)
Wober M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Werder Bremen?
Freiburg has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against Freiburg?
Werder Bremen has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Werder Bremen were as follows:
20.09.2025
Werder Bremen
-
Freiburg
0:3
21.02.2025
Freiburg
-
Werder Bremen
5:0
05.10.2024
Werder Bremen
-
Freiburg
0:1
27.01.2024
Werder Bremen
-
Freiburg
3:1
26.08.2023
Freiburg
-
Werder Bremen
1:0
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 88:23 | 65 | 63 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 51:25 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 40 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 48:49 | -1 | 34 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 34:39 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 33:41 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Mainz | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 33:53 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22:53 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
