Result
0:1
26/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (330/429) | 73% (260/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (330/429) | 73% (260/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (33/70) | 41% (30/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (80/136) | 59% (78/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', Tchamba B. 🟨,
- 34', Ivulans M. (Pen),
- 39', 0 - 1, Agapov M. ⚽, Sidorovs M. (A),
- 45+1', Cinajevs D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tchamba B. ↓, Dobrecovs D. ↑,
- 59', Evelons E. ↓, Saleh S. ↑,
- 59', Cesnieks K. ↓, Bangura A. ↑,
- 59', Ivulans M. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
- 73', Rekis K. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑,
- 81', Minkevics I. 🟨,
- 84', Kamara M. ↓, Gulbis H. ↑,
- 89', Molotkovs A. 🟨,
- 90', Kluskins G. 🟨,
- 90+2', Puzirevskis A. ↓, Bekili P. ↑,
- 90+3', Sidorovs M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Metta LU
27.4% | Draw
26.1% | Grobiņa
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metta LU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metta LU's form might have worsened.Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grobiņa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta LU than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metta LU, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grobiņa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Metta LU - Grobiņa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.55 ↑
(2.74) |
3.61 ↑
(3.35) |
1.92 ↓
(2.32) |
8%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Metta LU - Grobiņa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grobiņa (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Grobiņa will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metta won 4.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Metta won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Metta LU won against Grobiņa?
Metta LU has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Metta LU?
Grobiņa has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metta LU - Grobiņa were as follows:
06.07.2025
Grobiņa
-
Metta LU
0:1
15.05.2025
Metta LU
-
Grobiņa
1:1
30.03.2025
Grobiņa
-
Metta LU
2:4
20.10.2024
Metta LU
-
Grobiņa
2:1
27.07.2024
Grobiņa
-
Metta LU
1:2
Latest results of Metta LU
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 80:21 | 59 | 83 |
| 2 | RFS | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 84:33 | 51 | 75 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 48:55 | -7 | 46 |
| 5 | Auda | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 39:41 | -2 | 44 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 34 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 8 | Grobina | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30:56 | -26 | 29 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 38:51 | -13 | 27 |
| 10 | Metta | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 31:68 | -37 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
