Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs Orix Buffaloes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball NPB Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Orix Buffaloes
Result
10:2
03/10/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB

Match Stats

Hits
149
Errors
00
Home Runs
41
Runs batted in
102
Base on Balls
31
Strikeouts
108
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3832
Batting Average
0.3680.281

Chances of winning


Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
58.9%
Orix Buffaloes
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Orix Buffaloes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orix Buffaloes than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Orix Buffaloes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.72)

    2.26
    (2.17)
    5.1%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Orix Buffaloes?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fukuoka will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Orix will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orix (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fukuoka won 3.
    • Fukuoka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Orix has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fukuoka won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 102:56. (average 5.1:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fukuoka won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 35:19. (average 4.4:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Orix Buffaloes were as follows:
    23.09.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Orix Buffaloes 0:1
    22.09.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Orix Buffaloes 0:1
    21.09.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Orix Buffaloes 1:2
    20.09.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Orix Buffaloes 4:5
    15.09.2025 Orix Buffaloes - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 0:5
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers14385454496:3520.612
    2Yokohama BayStars14371666510:4560.518
    3Yomiuri Giants14370469463:4610.504
    4Chunichi Dragons14363278403:4630.447
    5Hiroshima Carp14359579441:4970.428
    6Yakult Swallows14357779443:5640.419


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks14387452551:3890.626
    2Nippon Ham Fighters14383357548:4090.593
    3Orix Buffaloes14374366502:5190.529
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles14367274446:5260.475
    5Seibu Lions14363377410:4650.450
    6Chiba Lotte Marines14356384441:5530.400

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)