Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Kano K. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, Kawamura K. ⚽, Yamaguchi T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 2, Kondo Y. ⚽,
- 51', Gaudencio 🟨,
- 61', Kondo Y. ↓, Nduka C. ↑,
- 61', Gaudencio ↓, Watanabe E. ↑,
- 63', Kano K. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
- 64', Higuchi H. ↓, Shimizu K. ↑,
- 64', Fujitani T. ↓, Yamada M. ↑,
- 67', Mori K. 🟨,
- 70', Ashibe K. ↓, Yoshinaga H. ↑,
- 72', Toma H. 🟨,
- 77', Endo M. ↓, Fukuda M. ↑,
- 77', Yoshio K. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
- 77', Suzu N. ↓, Shibata T. ↑,
- 82', Yoshinaga H. 🟨,
- 86', Kawamura K. ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
- 90+2', Aoki Y. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Shimizu K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fukushima United
23.8% | Draw
24.3% | Kagoshima United
52% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fukushima United's form might have worsened.Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagoshima United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fukushima United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-14%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kagoshima United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fukushima United - Kagoshima United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.92 ↑
(2.72) |
3.83 ↑
(3.13) |
1.79 ↓
(2.45) |
7.5%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Fukushima United - Kagoshima United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kagoshima United (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Kagoshima United will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 0.
- Fukushima United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kagoshima United is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fukushima United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Kagoshima United might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:22. (average 0.8:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fukushima United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fukushima United won against Kagoshima United?
Fukushima United has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kagoshima United won against Fukushima United?
Kagoshima United has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fukushima United - Kagoshima United were as follows:
17.05.2025
Kagoshima United
-
Fukushima United
5:0
29.10.2023
Fukushima United
-
Kagoshima United
0:1
09.07.2023
Kagoshima United
-
Fukushima United
3:1
23.10.2022
Fukushima United
-
Kagoshima United
1:1
Latest results of Fukushima United
Latest results of Kagoshima United
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 43:18 | 25 | 69 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63:35 | 28 | 61 |
| 4 | Osaka | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 46:30 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 48:36 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Kanazawa | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 44:37 | 7 | 50 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 38:32 | 6 | 50 |
| 9 | Tochigi SC | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 2 | 49 |
| 10 | Fukushima Utd | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 51:61 | -10 | 44 |
| 11 | Gifu | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Sagamihara | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 40 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 32:38 | -6 | 39 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Yamaga | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 16 | Nagano | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:45 | -16 | 35 |
| 17 | Kochi United | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 39:56 | -17 | 34 |
| 18 | Kusatsu | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 42:54 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36:52 | -16 | 28 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 35:49 | -14 | 24 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
