Fylde vs Chorley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Ormerod D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Fylde
54%
Draw
23.1%
Chorley
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 21.4% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 20.8% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fylde's form might have worsened.
  • Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fylde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chorley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fylde - Chorley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.54)
    3.98
    (4.34)
    3.99
    (5.1)
    9.2%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Fylde - Chorley?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fylde (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3.5 - Fylde (7.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Fylde will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fylde (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fylde won 2.
    • Fylde is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Chorley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chorley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fylde is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Fylde will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fylde won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fylde won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fylde - Chorley were as follows:
    01.01.2023 Chorley - Fylde 0:1
    26.12.2022 Fylde - Chorley 1:2
    Latest results of Fylde
    13.12.2025 Solihull Moors - Fylde 2:3
    06.12.2025 Fylde - Merthyr Town 1:0
    29.11.2025 Curzon Ashton - Fylde 1:3
    25.11.2025 Fylde - Macclesfield Town 5:1
    Latest results of Chorley
    20.12.2025 Chorley - Hereford 4:2
    06.12.2025 Worksop Town - Chorley 1:1
    25.11.2025 Chorley - Spennymoor Town 0:0
    22.11.2025 Chorley - Bedford Town 1:0
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde39274894:425285
    2South Shields39259585:364984
    3Kidderminster371812754:391566
    4Merthyr Town402131687:731466
    5Darlington391981271:531865
    6Macclesfield371971168:551364
    7Scarborough4016141055:47862
    8AFC Telford4016121277:542360
    9Buxton391761665:531257
    10Chester4015121358:62-457
    11Radcliffe391751765:63256
    12Marine371671451:55-455
    13Spennymoor381591452:63-1154
    14Southport4013121555:61-651
    15Chorley3913101660:59149
    16Curzon Ashton4012111759:74-1547
    17Worksop401381952:69-1747
    18Kingu2019s Lynn3911131547:53-646
    19Bedford4011101956:70-1443
    20Oxford City391191949:59-1042
    21Hereford351081748:63-1538
    22Alfreton379101836:67-3137
    23Peterborough Sports401072343:75-3237
    24Leamington39582628:70-4223

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation