Gabriel Diallo vs Alex De Minaur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Paris Gabriel Diallo - Alex De Minaur
Result
1:2
29/10/2025 at 15:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
83
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
70%51%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (51/76)65% (31/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
33% (11/33)62% (29/47)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
35% (17/48)33% (25/76)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (18/47)67% (22/33)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)40% (4/10)
Winners
3214
Unforced Errors
3313
Net Points Won
55% (16/29)64% (9/14)
Service Points Won
58% (62/107)63% (60/95)
Return Points Won
37% (35/95)42% (45/107)
Total Points Won
48% (97/202)52% (105/202)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
48% (15/31)52% (16/31)

Chances of winning


Gabriel Diallo
25.8%
Alex De Minaur
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.1% 76.9%

Gabriel Diallo - Alex De Minaur Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.74
(4.05)

1.28
(1.22)
5%
(6.7%)
What is the prediction for Gabriel Diallo - Alex De Minaur?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 2 - 20%). De Minaur will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 55.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alex De Minaur will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Diallo is ranked ATP: 42. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, De Minaur is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diallo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gabriel Diallo - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
    09.08.2023 Gabriel Diallo - Alex De Minaur 0:2
    Latest results of Gabriel Diallo
    Latest results of Alex De Minaur
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Norrie C.Baez S.2 : 0
    3Marozsan F.Rinderknech A. (WC)0 : 2
    4Vacherot V. (WC)Lehecka J. (14)2 : 0
    5Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    6Muller A.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    7Altmaier D.Giron M.2 : 0
    8ByeRuud C. (8)
    9Fritz T. (4)Bye
    10Vukic A. (Q)Atmane T. (WC)2 : 1
    11Moutet C.Opelka R. (LL)2 : 1
    12Popyrin A.Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    13Khachanov K. (10)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    14Shapovalov D.Fonseca J.1 : 2
    15Griekspoor T.Diallo G.0 : 2
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Musetti L. (7)Bye
    18Sonego L.Korda S. (Q)2 : 0
    19Mpetshi Perricard G.Dimitrov G.0 : 2
    20Munar J.Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Royer V. (LL)2 : 1
    22Darderi L.Cazaux A. (WC)0 : 2
    23Etcheverry T. M. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.0 : 2
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Shelton B. (5)Bye
    26Cobolli F.Machac T.2 : 0
    27Tien L.Borges N.2 : 0
    28Fearnley J. (Q)Rublev A. (12)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F.Dzumhur D. (Q)2 : 0
    30Kovacevic A. (LL)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    31Michelsen A.Bergs Z.1 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Norrie C.1 : 2
    2Rinderknech A.Vacherot V.1 : 2
    3Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    4Altmaier D.Ruud C. (8)2 : 0
    5Fritz T. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    6Moutet C.Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    7Khachanov K. (10)Fonseca J.2 : 1
    8Diallo G.De Minaur A. (6)1 : 2
    9Musetti L. (7)Sonego L.1 : 2
    10Dimitrov G.Medvedev D. (WO.) (11)
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Cazaux A.2 : 0
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Shelton B. (5)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    14Tien L.Rublev A. (12)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16Bergs Z.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Norrie C.Vacherot V.0 : 2
    2Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    3Fritz T. (4)Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    4Khachanov K. (10)De Minaur A. (6)0 : 2
    5Sonego L.Medvedev D. (11)1 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Shelton B. (5)Rublev A. (12)2 : 0
    8Cerundolo F.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Vacherot V.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)0 : 2
    2Bublik A. (13)De Minaur A. (6)2 : 1
    3Medvedev D. (11)Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Shelton B. (5)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Bublik A. (13)2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2