Gabriel Diallo vs Corentin Moutet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Monte Carlo Gabriel Diallo - Corentin Moutet
Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
69%61%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (44/66)63% (38/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (13/30)64% (25/39)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)75% (9/12)
1st Return Points Won
37% (22/60)33% (22/66)
2nd Return Points Won
36% (14/39)57% (17/30)
Break Points Converted
25% (3/12)67% (4/6)
Winners
3229
Unforced Errors
5322
Net Points Won
52% (28/54)63% (5/8)
Service Points Won
59% (57/96)64% (63/99)
Return Points Won
36% (36/99)41% (39/96)
Total Points Won
48% (93/195)52% (102/195)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
47% (15/32)53% (17/32)

Chances of winning


Gabriel Diallo
37.8%
Corentin Moutet
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Gabriel Diallo - Corentin Moutet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.35)

    1.5
    (1.59)
    7%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Gabriel Diallo - Corentin Moutet?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Moutet will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Moutet: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Moutet (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Diallo is ranked ATP: 81. Moutet is ranked ATP: 75.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Diallo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Moutet will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Gabriel Diallo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Navone M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Korda S.2 : 0
    4Bu Y. (Q)Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (RET.) (10)Borges N.0 : 1
    6Sonego L.Martinez P.1 : 2
    7Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    8ByeTsitsipas S. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    11Struff J-L.Vacherot V. (WC)0 : 2
    12Jarry N.Dimitrov G. (15)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (9)Khachanov K.2 : 1
    14Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)2 : 0
    15Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (8)
    17Draper J. (5)Bye
    18Giron M.Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    19Etcheverry T. M.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    20Davidovich Fokina A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 1
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Popyrin A.Humbert U.2 : 1
    23Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    24ByeRuud C. (4)
    25Rublev A. (7)Bye
    26Monfils G.Marozsan F. (Q)2 : 1
    27Lajovic D. (Q)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    28Griekspoor T.Fils A. (12)1 : 2
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (16)Altmaier D. (Q)0 : 2
    30Arnaldi M.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    31Fognini F. (WC)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J.Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    3Borges N.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4Thompson J.Tsitsipas S. (6)1 : 2
    5Djokovic N. (3)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    8Machac T.De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Giron M.2 : 0
    10Etcheverry T. M.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (14)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    12Bautista-Agut R.Ruud C. (4)0 : 2
    13Rublev A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Cobolli F.Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    15Altmaier D.Gasquet R.2 : 1
    16Cerundolo F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Berrettini M.Musetti L. (13)0 : 2
    2Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (6)0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    5Draper J. (5)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Popyrin A.Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    7Rublev A. (7)Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)Tsitsipas S. (6)2 : 1
    2Dimitrov G. (15)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    4Fils A. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)De Minaur A. (8)2 : 1
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2