Gabriel Diallo vs Corentin Moutet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
69%61%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (44/66)63% (38/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (13/30)64% (25/39)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)75% (9/12)
1st Return Points Won
37% (22/60)33% (22/66)
2nd Return Points Won
36% (14/39)57% (17/30)
Break Points Converted
25% (3/12)67% (4/6)
Winners
3229
Unforced Errors
5322
Net Points Won
52% (28/54)63% (5/8)
Service Points Won
59% (57/96)64% (63/99)
Return Points Won
36% (36/99)41% (39/96)
Total Points Won
48% (93/195)52% (102/195)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
47% (15/32)53% (17/32)

Chances of winning


Gabriel Diallo
37.8%
Corentin Moutet
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Gabriel Diallo - Corentin Moutet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.35)

    1.5
    (1.59)
    7%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Gabriel Diallo - Corentin Moutet?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Moutet will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Moutet: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Corentin Moutet will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Diallo is ranked ATP: 81. Moutet is ranked ATP: 75.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Diallo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Moutet will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Gabriel Diallo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)
    11Mensik J.Marozsan F.
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)
    5Musetti L. (4)TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Medvedev D. (7)TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2