Gabriel Diallo vs Corentin Moutet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
69%61%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (44/66)63% (38/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (13/30)64% (25/39)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)75% (9/12)
1st Return Points Won
37% (22/60)33% (22/66)
2nd Return Points Won
36% (14/39)57% (17/30)
Break Points Converted
25% (3/12)67% (4/6)
Winners
3229
Unforced Errors
5322
Net Points Won
52% (28/54)63% (5/8)
Service Points Won
59% (57/96)64% (63/99)
Return Points Won
36% (36/99)41% (39/96)
Total Points Won
48% (93/195)52% (102/195)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
47% (15/32)53% (17/32)

Chances of winning


Gabriel Diallo
37.8%
Corentin Moutet
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Gabriel Diallo - Corentin Moutet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.35)

    1.5
    (1.59)
    7%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Gabriel Diallo - Corentin Moutet?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Moutet will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Moutet: 45%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corentin Moutet will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Diallo is ranked ATP: 81. Moutet is ranked ATP: 75.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Diallo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Moutet will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Gabriel Diallo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.2 : 1
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2Vacherot V.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Vacherot V.2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2