Gabriel Diallo vs Damir Dzumhur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP US Open Gabriel Diallo - Damir Dzumhur
Result
3:1
25/08/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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franceFranceHBO Max
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polandPolandHBO Max
romaniaRomaniaHBO Max
serbiaSerbiaHBO Max
sloveniaSloveniaHBO Max
spainSpainHBO Max
swedenSwedenHBO Max

Match Stats

Aces
170
Double Faults
28
1st Serve Percentage
66%71%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (67/90)70% (74/106)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (27/46)55% (24/44)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
31% (33/106)26% (23/90)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (20/44)41% (19/46)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)60% (3/5)
Winners
6022
Unforced Errors
7143
Net Points Won
56% (34/61)75% (15/20)
Service Points Won
69% (94/136)65% (97/149)
Return Points Won
35% (52/149)31% (42/136)
Total Points Won
51% (146/285)49% (139/285)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
87% (20/23)83% (19/23)
Return Games Won
17% (4/23)13% (3/23)
Total Games Won
52% (24/46)48% (22/46)
Distance Covered (metres)
28012798

Chances of winning


Gabriel Diallo
74.5%
Damir Dzumhur
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.7% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriel Diallo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damir Dzumhur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gabriel Diallo - Damir Dzumhur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.37)

    3.75
    (3.3)
    4.7%
    (3.6%)
    What is the prediction for Gabriel Diallo - Damir Dzumhur?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Dzumhur will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Diallo: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dzumhur (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Diallo is ranked ATP: 33. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 56.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Diallo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Diallo is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Gabriel Diallo
    Latest results of Damir Dzumhur