Lorenzo Musetti vs Gabriel Diallo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
01/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
63%58%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (28/36)72% (26/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (11/21)23% (6/26)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)33% (2/6)
Average 1st Serve Speed
191 km/h205 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
156 km/h180 km/h
1st Return Points Won
28% (10/36)22% (8/36)
2nd Return Points Won
77% (20/26)48% (10/21)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)20% (1/5)
Winners
1214
Unforced Errors
1237
Net Points Won
60% (3/5)46% (11/24)
Service Points Won
68% (39/57)52% (32/62)
Return Points Won
48% (30/62)32% (18/57)
Total Points Won
58% (69/119)42% (50/119)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Musetti
77.9%
Gabriel Diallo
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.7% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Lorenzo Musetti - Gabriel Diallo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.27)

    4.31
    (3.74)
    4.3%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Gabriel Diallo?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Diallo will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 65.7%97.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Musetti (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorenzo Musetti will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Musetti is ranked ATP: 11. Diallo is ranked ATP: 78.
    • Musetti is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Diallo in the last match got series victories and it is in very good shape (in the last 5 games, wins - 5).
    • Diallo could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match, Musetti is a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Musetti - Gabriel Diallo were as follows:
    02.01.2025 Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Musetti 0:2
    13.09.2023 Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Musetti 2:0
    Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
    Latest results of Gabriel Diallo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 1
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.2 : 1
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (WO.) (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.2 : 1
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)2 : 0
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.1 : 2
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)0 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)2 : 0
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.2 : 0
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.0 : 2
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Norrie C. (19)Tirante T. A.
    3Kopriva V.Rinderknech A. (22)
    4Fonseca J. (27)Jodar R.
    5Prizmic D.Etcheverry T. M. (25)1 : 2
    6Fils A. (21)Nava E.2 : 0
    7Lehecka J. (11)Michelsen A. (33)2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    9Tsitsipas S.Merida Aguilar D.
    10Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Ruud C. (12)
    11Cerundolo F. (16)Darderi L. (18)
    12Blockx A.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    13Medvedev D. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.
    14Vallejo D.Cobolli F. (10)
    15Khachanov K. (13)Mensik J. (23)
    16Atmane T.Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Etcheverry T. M. (25)Fils A. (21)
    4Lehecka J. (11)Musetti L. (6)
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2