Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Acapulco Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo
Result
0:2
23/02/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico) - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
30
1st Serve Percentage
53%63%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (19/32)91% (20/22)
2nd Serve Points Won
25% (7/28)69% (9/13)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
9% (2/22)41% (13/32)
2nd Return Points Won
31% (4/13)75% (21/28)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)45% (5/11)
Service Points Won
43% (26/60)83% (29/35)
Return Points Won
17% (6/35)57% (34/60)
Total Points Won
34% (32/95)66% (63/95)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
17% (1/6)100% (7/7)
Return Games Won
0% (0/7)83% (5/6)
Total Games Won
8% (1/13)92% (12/13)

Chances of winning


Mattia Bellucci
54.5%
Gabriel Diallo
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriel Diallo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.59)

    2.06
    (2.22)
    6.8%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Diallo will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bellucci is ranked ATP: 70. Diallo is ranked ATP: 88.
    • Bellucci is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Diallo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bellucci could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Bellucci will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Bellucci won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo 2:0
    11.06.2024 Gabriel Diallo - Mattia Bellucci 1:2
    16.08.2023 Gabriel Diallo - Mattia Bellucci 0:2
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
    Latest results of Gabriel Diallo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    2Tien L. (Q)Norrie C.2 : 0
    3Altmaier D. (WC)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    4Mensik J.Machac T. (8)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (4)Carballes Baena R.2 : 0
    6Bonzi B.Nakashima B.0 : 2
    7Goffin D.Hijikata R.2 : 0
    8Cobolli F.Shelton B. (5)0 : 2
    9Shapovalov D. (9)Basavareddy N. (Q)2 : 0
    10Michelsen A.Bu Y. (WC)2 : 1
    11Giron M.Walton A. (Q)2 : 0
    12Diallo G. (Q)Paul T. (3)0 : 2
    13Tiafoe F. (7)Muller A.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Bellucci M. (LL)2 : 1
    15Vukic A.Pacheco Mendez R. (WC)1 : 2
    16Rinderknech A.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Tien L.0 : 2
    2Altmaier D.Machac T. (8)0 : 2
    3Rune H. (RET.) (4)Nakashima B.0 : 0
    4Goffin D.Shelton B. (5)2 : 0
    5Shapovalov D. (9)Michelsen A.2 : 0
    6Giron M. (WO.)Paul T. (3)
    7Tiafoe F. (7)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    8Pacheco Mendez R. (WO.)Ruud C. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Tien L.Machac T. (8)0 : 2
    2Nakashima B.Goffin D.2 : 0
    3Shapovalov D. (9)Giron M.2 : 1
    4Davidovich Fokina A.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Machac T. (8)Nakashima B.2 : 1
    2Shapovalov D. (9)Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Machac T. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0