Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats


Aces
8	10
Double Faults
2	1
1st serve percentage
64%	67%
1st serve points won
72% (38/53)	76% (38/50)
2nd serve points won
53% (16/30)	60% (15/25)
Break Points Saved
86% (6/7)	100% (1/1)
1st return points won
24% (12/50)	28% (15/53)
2nd return points won
40% (10/25)	47% (14/30)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)	14% (1/7)
Winners
18	20
Unforced errors
32	29
Net points won
80% (4/5)	67% (12/18)
Service Points Won
65% (54/83)	71% (53/75)
Return Points Won
29% (22/75)	35% (29/83)
Total Points Won
48% (76/158)	52% (82/158)
Last 10 balls
4	6
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
91% (10/11)	100% (11/11)
Return games won
0% (0/11)	9% (1/11)
Total games won
45% (10/22)	55% (12/22)

Chances of winning

Mattia Bellucci
46.8%

Gabriel Diallo
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.16)		1.8 ↑ (1.65)	4.4% (6.9%)

What is the prediction for Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Diallo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 35.9% – 97.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bellucci (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Diallo (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 94. Diallo is ranked ATP: 38.
Recent performances by Bellucci have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Diallo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Diallo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bellucci won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Mattia Bellucci won against Gabriel Diallo?

Mattia Bellucci has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gabriel Diallo won against Mattia Bellucci?

Gabriel Diallo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo were as follows:

23.02.2025 Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo 0:2

16.08.2024 Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo 2:0

11.06.2024 Gabriel Diallo - Mattia Bellucci 1:2

16.08.2023 Gabriel Diallo - Mattia Bellucci 0:2

Latest results of Mattia Bellucci

26.02.2026 Francis Tiafoe - Mattia Bellucci 2:0 ✺

25.02.2026 Mattia Bellucci - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:0 ✺

24.02.2026 Rinky Hijikata - Mattia Bellucci 0:2 ✺

24.02.2026 Sebastian Korda - Mattia Bellucci Canceled ✺

17.02.2026 Miomir Kecmanovic - Mattia Bellucci 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Gabriel Diallo

17.02.2026 Adam Walton - Gabriel Diallo 2:0 ✺

17.02.2026 Eliot Spizzirri - Gabriel Diallo Canceled ✺

10.02.2026 Gabriel Diallo - Ben Shelton 0:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Gabriel Diallo - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Canceled ✺

06.02.2026 Gabriel Diallo - Gustavo Heide 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Atmane T.	Dimitrov G.	1 : 2
3	Cerundolo J. M.	Van De Zandschulp B.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Rinderknech A. (26)
5	Vacherot V. (24)	Bye
6	Borges N.	Nava E.	2 : 0
7	Shevchenko A.	Shimabukuro S. (Q)	2 : 1
8	Bye	Ruud C. (13)
9	Bublik A. (10)	Bye
10	Zheng M. (WC)	Kopriva V. (LL)	0 : 2
11	Maestrelli F. (Q)	Hijikata R. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Bye	Darderi L. (20)
13	Norrie C. (27)	Bye
14	Arnaldi M.	McDonald M. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Korda S.	Comesana F.	2 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (6)
17	Djokovic N. (3)	Bye
18	Majchrzak K.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 1
19	Hurkacz H.	Kovacevic A.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Moutet C. (31)
21	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
22	Royer V.	Bonzi B. (Q)	0 : 2
23	Marozsan F.	Bautista-Agut R.	1 : 2
24	Bye	Draper J. (14)
25	Medvedev D. (11)	Bye
26	Tabilo A.	Jodar R. (WC)	2 : 0
27	Tseng C. H. (Q)	Baez S.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Lehecka J. (22)
29	Humbert U. (32)	Bye
30	Merida Aguilar D. (Q)	Michelsen A.	0 : 2
31	Fearnley J.	Dzumhur D.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Fritz T. (7)
33	Musetti L. (5)	Bye
34	Fucsovics M.	O'Connell C. (Q)	2 : 0
35	Prizmic D. (Q)	Schoolkate T. (Q)	2 : 1
36	Bye	Fils A. (30)
37	Rublev A. (17)	Bye
38	Bellucci M.	Diallo G.	0 : 2
39	Monfils G. (WC)	Galarneau A. (Q)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)
41	Cobolli F. (15)	Bye
42	Altmaier D. (RET.)	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 1
43	Brooksby J.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
44	Bye	Tiafoe F. (21)
45	Nakashima B. (28)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C.	Damm M. (WC)	2 : 0
47	Berrettini M.	Mannarino A.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Zverev A. (4)
49	Shelton B. (8)	Bye
50	Opelka R.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
51	Halys Q.	Walton A.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Tien L. (25)
53	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
54	Svajda Z. (WC)	Cilic M.	2 : 0
55	Navone M.	Giron M.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Mensik J. (12)
57	Khachanov K. (16)	Bye
58	Fonseca J.	Collignon R.	2 : 0
59	Bergs Z.	Struff J-L.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Paul T. (23)
61	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Bye
62	Tsitsipas S.	Shapovalov D.	1 : 2
63	Svrcina D. (Q)	Duckworth J.	2 : 0
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Dimitrov G.	2 : 0
2	Cerundolo J. M.	Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26)
3	Vacherot V. (24)	Borges N.	2 : 0
4	Shevchenko A.	Ruud C. (13)	0 : 2
5	Bublik A. (10)	Kopriva V.	2 : 1
6	Hijikata R.	Darderi L. (20)	2 : 1
7	Norrie C. (27)	McDonald M.	2 : 0
8	Korda S.	De Minaur A. (6)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (3)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 1
10	Kovacevic A.	Moutet C. (31)	2 : 0
11	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bonzi B.	2 : 1
12	Bautista-Agut R.	Draper J. (14)	1 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (11)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	Baez S.	Lehecka J. (22)	2 : 0
15	Humbert U. (32)	Michelsen A.	1 : 2
16	Fearnley J.	Fritz T. (7)	1 : 2
17	Musetti L. (5)	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2
18	Prizmic D. (RET.)	Fils A. (30)	0 : 1
19	Rublev A. (17)	Diallo G.	1 : 2
20	Monfils G.	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	1 : 2
21	Cobolli F. (15)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
22	Brooksby J.	Tiafoe F. (21)	0 : 2
23	Nakashima B. (28)	Ugo Carabelli C.	2 : 0
24	Berrettini M.	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
25	Shelton B. (8)	Opelka R.	2 : 1
26	Walton A.	Tien L. (25)	0 : 2
27	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Svajda Z.	2 : 0
28	Giron M.	Mensik J. (12)	0 : 2
29	Khachanov K. (16)	Fonseca J.	1 : 2
30	Bergs Z.	Paul T. (23)	0 : 2
31	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Shapovalov D.	1 : 2
32	Svrcina D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Rinderknech A. (26)	2 : 1
2	Vacherot V. (24)	Ruud C. (13)	1 : 2
3	Bublik A. (10)	Hijikata R.	1 : 2
4	Norrie C. (27)	De Minaur A. (6)	2 : 0
5	Djokovic N. (3)	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
6	Cerundolo F. (19)	Draper J. (14)	0 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (11)	Baez S.	2 : 0
8	Michelsen A.	Fritz T. (7)	2 : 0
9	Fucsovics M.	Fils A. (30)	0 : 2
10	Diallo G.	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	1 : 2
11	Cobolli F. (15)	Tiafoe F. (21)	0 : 2
12	Nakashima B. (28)	Zverev A. (4)	1 : 2
13	Shelton B. (8)	Tien L. (25)	1 : 2
14	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Mensik J. (12)	2 : 1
15	Fonseca J.	Paul T. (23)	2 : 0
16	Shapovalov D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Ruud C. (13)	2 : 0
2	Hijikata R.	Norrie C. (27)	0 : 2
3	Djokovic N. (3)	Draper J. (14)	1 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (11)	Michelsen A.	2 : 0
5	Fils A. (30)	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	2 : 0
6	Tiafoe F. (21)	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
7	Tien L. (25)	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	2 : 1
8	Fonseca J.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Norrie C. (27)	2 : 0
2	Draper J. (14)	Medvedev D. (11)	0 : 2
3	Fils A. (30)	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
4	Tien L. (25)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Medvedev D. (11)	0 : 2
2	Zverev A. (4)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Medvedev D. (11)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2