Result
1:0
17/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Kigozi A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Entebbe UPPC
60.3% | Draw
25.9% | Mbarara City
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Entebbe UPPC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Entebbe UPPC than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Entebbe UPPC - Mbarara City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.52) |
3.47 ↑
(3.35) |
6.5 ↑
(6.38) |
11.4%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).
- Entebbe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mbarara City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mbarara City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Entebbe has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Entebbe is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Entebbe will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Entebbe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Entebbe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Entebbe UPPC won against Mbarara City?
Entebbe UPPC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mbarara City won against Entebbe UPPC?
Mbarara City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Entebbe UPPC - Mbarara City were as follows:
03.12.2025
Mbarara City
-
Entebbe UPPC
1:1
13.03.2024
Mbarara City
-
Entebbe UPPC
5:0
11.11.2023
Entebbe UPPC
-
Mbarara City
2:1
Latest results of Entebbe UPPC
Latest results of Mbarara City
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 42:14 | 28 | 51 |
| 2 | Kitara | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 34:13 | 21 | 47 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 34:18 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Villa | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 32:11 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 19:14 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 37 |
| 7 | Police | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | BUL | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 24:21 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Maroons | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 18:15 | 3 | 29 |
| 10 | Express | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | URA SC | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16:31 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | UPDF | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17:30 | -13 | 17 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 16 |
| 15 | Buhimba | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15:46 | -31 | 15 |
| 16 | Calvary | 22 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 9:36 | -27 | 8 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
