Result
1:0
17/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Kigozi A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Entebbe UPPC
60.3% | Draw
25.9% | Mbarara City
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Entebbe UPPC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Entebbe UPPC than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Entebbe UPPC - Mbarara City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.52) |
3.47 ↑
(3.35) |
6.5 ↑
(6.38) |
11.4%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).
- Entebbe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mbarara City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mbarara City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Entebbe has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Entebbe is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Entebbe will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Entebbe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Entebbe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Entebbe UPPC won against Mbarara City?
Entebbe UPPC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mbarara City won against Entebbe UPPC?
Mbarara City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Entebbe UPPC - Mbarara City were as follows:
03.12.2025
Mbarara City
-
Entebbe UPPC
1:1
13.03.2024
Mbarara City
-
Entebbe UPPC
5:0
11.11.2023
Entebbe UPPC
-
Mbarara City
2:1
Latest results of Entebbe UPPC
Latest results of Mbarara City
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 37:9 | 28 | 41 |
| 2 | Kitara | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 | Villa | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:10 | 16 | 34 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 34 |
| 6 | Police | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | NEC FC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 8 | BUL | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Maroons | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Lugazi | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15:24 | -9 | 18 |
| 11 | Express | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Buhimba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:38 | -23 | 15 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 15 |
| 14 | URA SC | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | UPDF | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12:26 | -14 | 12 |
| 16 | Calvary | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6:26 | -20 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
