Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/04/2026 at 09:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	4
Double Faults
1	3
1st serve percentage
63%	66%
1st serve points won
70% (28/40)	69% (24/35)
2nd serve points won
42% (10/24)	72% (13/18)
Break Points Saved
4/7	0/1
1st return points won
31% (11/35)	30% (12/40)
2nd return points won
28% (5/18)	58% (14/24)
Break Points Converted
1/1	3/7
Winners
17	20
Unforced errors
21	17
Net points won
64% (7/11)	80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
59% (38/64)	70% (37/53)
Return Points Won
30% (16/53)	41% (26/64)
Total Points Won
46% (54/117)	54% (63/117)
Last 10 balls
2	8
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
70% (7/10)	90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)	30% (3/10)
Total games won
40% (8/20)	60% (12/20)

Chances of winning

Gael Monfils
34.2%

Alexander Bublik
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.65)		1.45 ↓ (1.48)	4.9% (5.1%)

What is the prediction for Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Monfils will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Bublik will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Monfils (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +3.5 Games - Monfils (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gael Monfils will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Monfils (votes: 12 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Monfils is ranked ATP: 199. Bublik is ranked ATP: 11.
In recent matches, Monfils has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bublik has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Bublik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Bublik could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Monfils won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Gael Monfils won against Alexander Bublik?

Gael Monfils has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Bublik won against Gael Monfils?

Alexander Bublik has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik were as follows:

02.08.2023 Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik 2:0

Latest results of Gael Monfils

05.04.2026 Gael Monfils - Tallon Griekspoor 2:1 ✺

06.03.2026 Gael Monfils - Felix Aliassime-Auger 1:2 ✺

04.03.2026 Gael Monfils - Alexis Galarneau 2:0 ✺

25.02.2026 Valentin Vacherot - Gael Monfils 2:0 ✺

24.02.2026 Damir Dzumhur - Gael Monfils 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Alexander Bublik

04.04.2026 Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik 3:0 ✺

03.04.2026 Alexander Bublik - Ugo Humbert 0:2 ✺

20.03.2026 Alexander Bublik - Matteo Berrettini 0:2 ✺

09.03.2026 Alexander Bublik - Rinky Hijikata 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Alexander Bublik - Vit Kopriva 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Baez S.	Wawrinka S. (WC)	2 : 0
3	Etcheverry T. M.	Dimitrov G.	2 : 1
4	Atmane T.	Quinn E. (LL)	2 : 0
5	Lehecka J. (11)	Nava E. (Q)	2 : 1
6	Fucsovics M.	Tabilo A.	0 : 2
7	Monfils G. (WC)	Griekspoor T.	2 : 1
8	Bye	Bublik A. (8)
9	Musetti L. (4)	Bye
10	Vacherot V.	Cerundolo J. M. (Q)	2 : 1
11	Dzumhur D. (LL)	Marozsan F.	0 : 2
12	Hurkacz H. (PR)	Darderi L. (15)	2 : 1
13	Cobolli F. (10)	Comesana F. (Q)	2 : 1
14	Shapovalov D.	Blockx A. (Q)	1 : 2
15	Norrie C.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (5)
17	Medvedev D. (7)	Bye
18	Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)	Berrettini M. (WC)	0 : 0
19	Fonseca J.	Diallo G.	2 : 0
20	Rinderknech A.	Khachanov K. (12)	2 : 0
21	Rublev A. (13)	Borges N.	2 : 1
22	Bergs Z.	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
23	Garin C. (Q)	Arnaldi M. (LL)	2 : 0
24	Bye	Zverev A. (3)
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (6)	Bye
26	Cilic M.	Shevchenko A. (Q)	2 : 0
27	Moutet C.	Muller A. (Q)	2 : 0
28	Popyrin A.	Ruud C. (9)	0 : 2
29	Cerundolo F. (16)	Tsitsipas S.	2 : 0
30	Altmaier D.	Machac T.	1 : 2
31	Kouame M. (WC)	Humbert U.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Baez S.	2 : 0
2	Etcheverry T. M.	Atmane T.	2 : 1
3	Lehecka J. (11)	Tabilo A.	2 : 1
4	Monfils G.	Bublik A. (8)	0 : 2
5	Musetti L. (4)	Vacherot V.	0 : 2
6	Marozsan F.	Hurkacz H.	0 : 2
7	Cobolli F. (10)	Blockx A.	0 : 2
8	Norrie C.	De Minaur A. (5)	1 : 2
9	Medvedev D. (7)	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
10	Fonseca J.	Rinderknech A.	2 : 1
11	Rublev A. (13)	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
12	Garin C.	Zverev A. (3)	1 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (6)	Cilic M.	2 : 0
14	Moutet C.	Ruud C. (9)	0 : 2
15	Cerundolo F. (16)	Machac T.	0 : 2
16	Humbert U.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Etcheverry T. M.	2 : 1
2	Lehecka J. (11)	Bublik A. (8)	0 : 2
3	Vacherot V.	Hurkacz H.	2 : 1
4	Blockx A.	De Minaur A. (5)	0 : 2
5	Berrettini M.	Fonseca J.	0 : 2
6	Bergs Z.	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
7	Auger-Aliassime F. (6)	Ruud C. (RET.) (9)	1 : 0
8	Machac T.	Sinner J. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bublik A. (8)	2 : 0
2	Vacherot V.	De Minaur A. (5)	2 : 1
3	Fonseca J.	Zverev A. (3)	1 : 2
4	Auger-Aliassime F. (6)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Vacherot V.	2 : 0
2	Zverev A. (3)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Alcaraz C. (1)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2