Sebastian Baez vs Gael Monfils – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Shanghai Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils
Result
1:2
04/10/2024 at 02:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
215
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
81%66%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (50/75)71% (45/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
28% (5/18)47% (15/32)
Break Points Saved
73% (11/15)77% (10/13)
1st Return Points Won
29% (18/63)33% (25/75)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (17/32)72% (13/18)
Break Points Converted
23% (3/13)27% (4/15)
Winners
2236
Unforced Errors
4438
Net Points Won
79% (22/28)77% (10/13)
Max Points In Row
68
Service Points Won
59% (55/93)63% (60/95)
Return Points Won
37% (35/95)41% (38/93)
Total Points Won
48% (90/188)52% (98/188)
Max Games In Row
43
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Baez
29%
Gael Monfils
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 64.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.
  • Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gael Monfils's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gael Monfils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.57)

    1.35
    (1.42)
    4.9%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Monfils will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 73.9%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Baez is ranked ATP: 25. Monfils is ranked ATP: 46.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Monfils is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils were as follows:
    30.05.2023 Gael Monfils - Sebastian Baez 3:2
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Latest results of Gael Monfils
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Tabilo A. (1)Cui J. (WC)2 : 0
    2Sun F. (WC)Mayot H. (22)0 : 2
    3Royer V. (2)Droguet T.2 : 0
    4Daniel T.Harris B. (18)0 : 2
    5Svrcina D. (3)Zeppieri G.2 : 0
    6Liu H. (WC)Watanuki Y. (20)0 : 2
    7Vukic A. (4)Huesler M. (Alt)
    8Nishioka Y.Noguchi R. (Alt)
    9McDonald M. (5)Jasika O.2 : 0
    10Sakamoto R.Holt B. (13)
    11Misolic F. (6)Eubanks C.1 : 2
    12Te R. (WC)Blanchet U. (21)0 : 2
    13Schoolkate T. (7)McCabe J.2 : 1
    14Zhukayev B.Smith C. (19)2 : 0
    15Basilashvili N. (8)Tomic B.2 : 1
    16Xiao L. (WC)Spizzirri E. (17)0 : 2
    17Mochizuki S. (9)Hanfmann Y.
    18Kubler J.Wong C. (24)2 : 0
    19Basavareddy N. (10)Vacherot V.
    20Jacquet K.Draxl L. (14)
    21Duckworth J. (11)Onclin G. (Alt)0 : 2
    22Holmgren A.Tseng C. H. (16)2 : 1
    23Hijikata R. (12)Napolitano S. (PR)
    24Trotter J. K.Boyer T. (15)

    Final
    1Tabilo A. (1)Mayot H. (22)
    2Royer V. (2)Harris B. (18)
    3Svrcina D. (3)Watanuki Y. (20)
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5McDonald M. (5)TBD #10
    6Eubanks C.Blanchet U. (21)
    7Schoolkate T. (7)Zhukayev B.
    8Basilashvili N. (8)Spizzirri E. (17)
    9TBD #17Kubler J.
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11Onclin G.Holmgren A.
    12TBD #23TBD #24