Sebastian Baez vs Gael Monfils – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2024 at 02:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	15
Double Faults
2	6
1st Serve Percentage
81%	66%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (50/75)	71% (45/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
28% (5/18)	47% (15/32)
Break Points Saved
73% (11/15)	77% (10/13)
1st Return Points Won
29% (18/63)	33% (25/75)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (17/32)	72% (13/18)
Break Points Converted
23% (3/13)	27% (4/15)
Winners
22	36
Unforced Errors
44	38
Net Points Won
79% (22/28)	77% (10/13)
Max Points In Row
6	8
Service Points Won
59% (55/93)	63% (60/95)
Return Points Won
37% (35/95)	41% (38/93)
Total Points Won
48% (90/188)	52% (98/188)
Max Games In Row
4	3
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)	80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)	29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
45% (13/29)	55% (16/29)

Chances of winning

Sebastian Baez
29%

Gael Monfils
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gael Monfils's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gael Monfils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.57)		1.35 ↓ (1.42)	4.9% (9.3%)

What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Monfils will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 73.9% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Baez is ranked ATP: 25. Monfils is ranked ATP: 46.
One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Monfils is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Gael Monfils?

Sebastian Baez has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gael Monfils won against Sebastian Baez?

Gael Monfils has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils were as follows:

30.05.2023 Gael Monfils - Sebastian Baez 3:2

Latest results of Sebastian Baez

10.09.2024 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Sebastian Baez 2:0 ✺

28.08.2024 Sebastian Baez - Tallon Griekspoor retired ✺

26.08.2024 Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi 3:1 ✺

20.08.2024 Sebastian Baez - Borna Coric 0:2 ✺

14.08.2024 Sebastian Baez - Jordan Thompson 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Gael Monfils

02.10.2024 Gael Monfils - Damir Dzumhur 2:0 ✺

27.09.2024 Gael Monfils - Daniil Medvedev 0:2 ✺

28.08.2024 Casper Ruud - Gael Monfils 3:1 ✺

26.08.2024 Gael Monfils - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman 3:1 ✺

16.08.2024 Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Gael Monfils 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Bye
2	Tien L.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
3	Cazaux A.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Norrie C. (30)
5	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
6	Arnaldi M.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 0
7	Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)	Svrcina D. (Q)	0 : 1
8	Bye	Medvedev D. (16)
9	Khachanov K. (9)	Bye
10	Kovacevic A.	Shang J. (WC)	1 : 2
11	Van De Zandschulp B.	Borges N.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Vukic A. (LL)
13	Nakashima B. (29)	Bye
14	Majchrzak K.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
15	Ugo Carabelli C.	Atmane T. (RET.)	0 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (7)
17	Zverev A. (3)	Bye
18	Royer V. (Q)	Navone M.	2 : 1
19	Rinderknech A.	Medjedovic H. (RET.)	0 : 1
20	Bye	Michelsen A. (28)
21	Shapovalov D. (23)	Bye
22	Dzumhur D.	O'Connell C.	0 : 2
23	McDonald M. (LL)	Halys Q.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Lehecka J. (15)
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Bye
26	Giron M.	Tabilo A. (Q)	0 : 2
27	Zhou Y. (WC)	De Jong J.	1 : 2
28	Bye	Mensik J. (17)
29	Darderi L. (26)	Bye
30	Bu Y.	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 1
31	Comesana F.	Blanchet U. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Musetti L. (8)
33	Shelton B. (6)	Bye
34	Goffin D.	Muller A.	2 : 1
35	Opelka R.	Bonzi B.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Diallo G. (31)
37	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
38	Mannarino A.	Berrettini M.	2 : 0
39	Korda S.	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
40	Bye	Ruud C. (11)
41	Rublev A. (13)	Bye
42	Nishioka Y. (Q)	Shevchenko A.	2 : 0
43	Munar J.	Fucsovics M.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Cobolli F. (22)
45	Tiafoe F. (25)	Bye
46	Sonego L.	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	1 : 2
47	Cilic M.	Basilashvili N. (Q)	2 : 0
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Fritz T. (5)	Bye
50	Marozsan F.	Wawrinka S. (WC)	2 : 1
51	Ofner S. (PR)	Nardi L.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)
53	Humbert U. (21)	Bye
54	Thompson J.	Holmgren A. (Q)	2 : 1
55	Zhang Z. (WC)	Baez S.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Rune H. (10)
57	Bublik A. (14)	Bye
58	Djere L.	Vacherot V. (Q)	0 : 2
59	Walton A.	Bellucci M.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Machac T. (20)
61	Griekspoor T. (27)	Bye
62	Brooksby J. (PR)	Trotter J. K. (Q)	2 : 0
63	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Altmaier D.	0 : 2
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Tien L.	1 : 2
2	Cazaux A.	Norrie C. (30)	1 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
4	Svrcina D.	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
5	Khachanov K. (9)	Shang J.	0 : 2
6	Borges N.	Vukic A.	2 : 0
7	Nakashima B. (29)	Majchrzak K.	0 : 2
8	Ugo Carabelli C.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
9	Zverev A. (3)	Royer V.	2 : 0
10	Rinderknech A.	Michelsen A. (28)	2 : 0
11	Shapovalov D. (23)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
12	Halys Q.	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	De Jong J.	Mensik J. (17)	2 : 1
15	Darderi L. (26)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
16	Comesana F.	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
17	Shelton B. (6)	Goffin D.	0 : 2
18	Bonzi B.	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 2
19	Cerundolo F. (19)	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
20	Bergs Z.	Ruud C. (RET.) (11)	1 : 1
21	Rublev A. (13)	Nishioka Y.	1 : 2
22	Munar J.	Cobolli F. (22)	2 : 0
23	Tiafoe F. (25)	Hanfmann Y.	1 : 2
24	Cilic M.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Fritz T. (5)	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
26	Nardi L.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
27	Humbert U. (21)	Thompson J.	2 : 0
28	Baez S.	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
29	Bublik A. (14)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2
30	Bellucci M.	Machac T. (20)	0 : 2
31	Griekspoor T. (27)	Brooksby J.	2 : 1
32	Altmaier D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Tien L.	Norrie C. (30)	2 : 0
2	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
3	Shang J.	Borges N.	1 : 2
4	Majchrzak K.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
5	Zverev A. (3)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
6	Shapovalov D. (23)	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
7	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	De Jong J.	2 : 0
8	Darderi L. (26)	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
9	Goffin D. (RET.)	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 0
10	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
11	Nishioka Y.	Munar J.	1 : 2
12	Hanfmann Y.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
13	Fritz T. (5)	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
14	Humbert U. (21)	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
15	Vacherot V.	Machac T. (RET.) (20)	1 : 0
16	Griekspoor T. (27)	Sinner J. (RET.) (2)	1 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Tien L.	Medvedev D. (16)	1 : 2
2	Borges N.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
3	Rinderknech A.	Lehecka J. (15)	2 : 0
4	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Musetti L. (8)	2 : 0
5	Diallo G. (31)	Bergs Z.	1 : 2
6	Munar J.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
7	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	Rune H. (10)	1 : 2
8	Vacherot V.	Griekspoor T. (27)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	De Minaur A. (7)	2 : 0
2	Rinderknech A.	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	2 : 0
3	Bergs Z.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
4	Rune H. (10)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
2	Djokovic N. (4)	Vacherot V.	0 : 2

Final

1

Rinderknech A.

Vacherot V.

1 : 2