Gaia Squarcialupi vs Maria Sara Popa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF W15 Bucharest 2 Women Gaia Squarcialupi - Maria Sara Popa
Result
2:0
09/05/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Bucharest 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
73

Chances of winning


Gaia Squarcialupi
36.4%
Maria Sara Popa
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gaia Squarcialupi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gaia Squarcialupi's form might have worsened.
  • Maria Sara Popa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Sara Popa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaia Squarcialupi than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gaia Squarcialupi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Sara Popa than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Sara Popa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gaia Squarcialupi - Maria Sara Popa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (1.83)

    1.47
    (1.83)
    7.2%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Squarcialupi is ranked WTA: 672. Popa is ranked WTA: 682.
    • Squarcialupi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Popa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Squarcialupi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Popa will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Squarcialupi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gaia Squarcialupi - Maria Sara Popa were as follows:
    27.10.2022 Gaia Squarcialupi - Maria Sara Popa 1:2
    Latest results of Gaia Squarcialupi
    Latest results of Maria Sara Popa
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Kuhl C. (1)Barbulescu B.2 : 0
    2Gae M.Svatikova L.2 : 0
    3Vandromme J.Claeys L.2 : 0
    4Oana A. F.Tran D. (5)2 : 0
    5Tanasie L. (4)Popa G. S.2 : 0
    6Cirstea J. C.Raschdorf C.0 : 2
    7Ganz F.Bejenaru K. P.2 : 0
    8Tiron E. C. A.Bertea E. R. (6)0 : 2
    9Encheva L. (7)Kolonus Z.2 : 0
    10Baranovska A.Todoni C. N.2 : 0
    11Marginean A. I.Ionescu E. M.0 : 2
    12Sava I. T.Fullana L. (3)2 : 0
    13Squarcialupi G. (8)Sevcikova L.2 : 0
    14Plesa D. E.Szabo B.0 : 2
    15Popa M. S.Simionescu D.2 : 0
    16Ogescu S. (RET.)Amariei I. D. (2)0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kuhl C. (1)Gae M.1 : 2
    2Vandromme J.Oana A. F.1 : 2
    3Tanasie L. (4)Raschdorf C.2 : 0
    4Ganz F.Bertea E. R. (6)0 : 2
    5Encheva L. (7)Baranovska A.1 : 2
    6Ionescu E. M.Sava I. T.2 : 0
    7Squarcialupi G. (8)Szabo B.2 : 1
    8Popa M. S.Amariei I. D. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Gae M.Oana A. F.2 : 1
    2Tanasie L. (RET.) (4)Bertea E. R. (6)0 : 1
    3Baranovska A.Ionescu E. M.0 : 2
    4Squarcialupi G. (8)Popa M. S.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Gae M.Bertea E. R. (6)2 : 0
    2Ionescu E. M.Squarcialupi G. (8)2 : 1

    Final
    1Gae M.Ionescu E. M.2 : 0