Result
3:2
13/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 15
- Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, Kanal 5, max Extra 1, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (307/383) | 82% (437/534) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.31 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (307/383) | 82% (437/534) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (34/77) | 28% (12/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (103/149) | 67% (68/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 67% (4/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 58% (18/31) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 3.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Diabate I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 1, Boudah A. ⚽, Tounekti S. (A),
- 58', Tounekti S. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 1, Diabate I. (Pen),
- 66', Boudah A. ↓, Johansson O. ↑,
- 66', Winther F. ↓, Kabore M. ↑,
- 66', Besara N. ↓, Abraham P. ↑,
- 67', Niklasson R. ↓, Henriksson A. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Boudri A. ⚽, Diabate I. (A),
- 82', Boudri A. 🟨,
- 83', Tounekti S. ↓, Madjed M. ↑,
- 83', Tekie T. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 2, Erabi J. (Pen),
- 86', Boudri A. ↓, Becirovic E. ↑,
- 90+2', Diabate I. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
- 90+2', Wendin R. ↓, de Brienne M. ↑,
- 90+2', Agren O. ↓, Beckman F. ↑,
- 90+3', Holmen K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
GAIS
34.7% | Draw
28% | Hammarby
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GAIS's performance.Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hammarby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GAIS that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hammarby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
GAIS - Hammarby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(3.2) |
3.34 ↓
(3.5) |
2.54 ↑
(2.1) |
6.2%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for GAIS - Hammarby?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. GAIS will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Hammarby will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.6% – 73%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. GAIS (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 1.
- GAIS is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hammarby is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Hammarby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Hammarby has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in GAIS: Amatkarijo C.
(Inactive)
Hedlund L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Hammarby: Abraham P.
(Inactive)
Lindberg W.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, GAIS won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has GAIS won against Hammarby?
GAIS has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hammarby won against GAIS?
Hammarby has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GAIS - Hammarby were as follows:
26.08.2024
Hammarby
-
GAIS
0:0
07.07.2024
GAIS
-
Hammarby
0:0
Latest results of Hammarby
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:14 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 34:16 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 4 | AIK | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | GAIS | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | Elfsborg | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 21:18 | 3 | 25 |
| 8 | Goteborg | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Hacken | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25:31 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 29:35 | -6 | 19 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14:34 | -20 | 17 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 14 |
| 14 | Sirius | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17:33 | -16 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
