Hammarby vs GAIS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Hammarby - GAIS
Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 20
  • Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, SVT 1, SVT Play, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.32
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
87% (525/601)81% (306/380)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.461.74
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2320
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
168
Passes
87% (525/601)81% (306/380)
Long passes
40% (19/48)37% (21/57)
Passes in final third
81% (177/218)61% (78/128)
Crosses
23% (6/26)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.66
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
817
Tackles
56% (14/25)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6443
Clearances
2345
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.740.46
Goals prevented
-0.26-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Ibrahim H. (Pen),
  • 13', Ibrahim H. 🟨,
  • 14', Boudri A. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Besara N. ,
  • 39', Beckman F. 🟨,
  • 40', Hahn W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Tounekti S. , Madjed M. ,
  • 64', Diabate I. 🟨,
  • 65', Fagerjord J. , Becirovic E. ,
  • 72', Junior Adjei F. , Tekie T. ,
  • 72', Johansson O. , Erabi J. ,
  • 81', Wendin R. , Gustafsson F. ,
  • 81', Diabate I. , Hedlund L. ,
  • 86', Pinas S. , Winther F. ,
  • 86', Abraham P. , Lahdo A. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Becirovic E. ,
  • 90', Lundgren G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ibrahim H. , Lindberg J. ,
  • 90+2', Niklasson R. , de Brienne M. ,
  • 90+3', Eriksson V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hammarby
45%
Draw
26.1%
GAIS
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 24.7% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 22.9% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • The chances for GAIS have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hammarby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Hammarby - GAIS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.91)
    3.6
    (3.59)
    3.25
    (3.06)
    5.5%
    (12.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Hammarby - GAIS?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). GAIS will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 51.5%92.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hammarby will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 0.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • GAIS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hammarby has had a series of away games.
    • Hammarby will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in GAIS: Cardaklija A. (Inactive) Holmen K. (Yellow Cards) Milovanovic W. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hammarby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hammarby - GAIS were as follows:
    13.07.2025 GAIS - Hammarby 3:2
    26.08.2024 Hammarby - GAIS 0:0
    07.07.2024 GAIS - Hammarby 0:0
    Latest results of Hammarby
    14.08.2025 Hammarby - Rosenborg 0:1
    10.08.2025 Norrköping - Hammarby 0:2
    07.08.2025 Rosenborg - Hammarby 0:0
    31.07.2025 Charleroi - Hammarby 1:2
    27.07.2025 Värnamo - Hammarby 2:3
    Latest results of GAIS
    11.08.2025 GAIS - IFK Göteborg 0:1
    02.08.2025 Värnamo - GAIS 2:2
    26.07.2025 GAIS - Halmstad 3:0
    19.07.2025 Degerfors - GAIS 0:3
    13.07.2025 GAIS - Hammarby 3:2
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby20145139:162347
    2Hammarby20133437:181942
    3Malmo FF20106433:171636
    4Elfsborg20113636:27936
    5GAIS2098331:171435
    6AIK2097425:18734
    7Goteborg20111830:27334
    8Djurgarden2077623:20328
    9Brommapojkarna20721132:34-223
    10Hacken2065926:35-923
    11Norrkoping20641031:38-722
    12Sirius20551028:33-520
    13Oster20461016:25-918
    14Halmstad20531215:40-2518
    15Degerfors20431320:42-2215
    16Varnamo20261222:37-1512

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan