Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 20
- Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, SVT 1, SVT Play, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (525/601) | 81% (306/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (525/601) | 81% (306/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/48) | 37% (21/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (177/218) | 61% (78/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Ibrahim H. (Pen),
- 13', Ibrahim H. 🟨,
- 14', Boudri A. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 1, Besara N. ⚽,
- 39', Beckman F. 🟨,
- 40', Hahn W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Tounekti S. ↓, Madjed M. ↑,
- 64', Diabate I. 🟨,
- 65', Fagerjord J. ↓, Becirovic E. ↑,
- 72', Junior Adjei F. ↓, Tekie T. ↑,
- 72', Johansson O. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
- 81', Wendin R. ↓, Gustafsson F. ↑,
- 81', Diabate I. ↓, Hedlund L. ↑,
- 86', Pinas S. ↓, Winther F. ↑,
- 86', Abraham P. ↓, Lahdo A. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Becirovic E. ⚽,
- 90', Lundgren G. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ibrahim H. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
- 90+2', Niklasson R. ↓, de Brienne M. ↑,
- 90+3', Eriksson V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hammarby
45% | Draw
26.1% | GAIS
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)The chances for GAIS have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hammarby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Hammarby - GAIS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.91) |
3.6 ↑
(3.59) |
3.25 ↑
(3.06) |
5.5%
(12.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hammarby - GAIS?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). GAIS will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 51.5% – 92.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hammarby will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 0.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- GAIS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Hammarby has had a series of away games.
- Hammarby will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in GAIS: Cardaklija A.
(Inactive)
Holmen K.
(Yellow Cards)
Milovanovic W.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hammarby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Hammarby won against GAIS?
Hammarby has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GAIS won against Hammarby?
GAIS has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hammarby - GAIS were as follows:
13.07.2025
GAIS
-
Hammarby
3:2
26.08.2024
Hammarby
-
GAIS
0:0
07.07.2024
GAIS
-
Hammarby
0:0
Latest results of Hammarby
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 49:17 | 32 | 66 |
| 2 | Hammarby ✔ | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | GAIS | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 41:27 | 14 | 48 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | AIK | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 35:29 | 6 | 44 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43:29 | 14 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 45:41 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Halmstad | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 22:47 | -25 | 31 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 | Oster | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 27:49 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo ✔ | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 33:55 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mjallby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hammarby is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Varnamo is Relegated to Superettan
