Galapagar vs Móstoles URJC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', 0 - 1, ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Galapagar
10.6%
Draw
24.6%
Móstoles URJC
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 27.5% 47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 26.9% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galapagar's form might have worsened.
  • Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Móstoles URJC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galapagar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Móstoles URJC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Galapagar - Móstoles URJC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.48
    (3.58)
    4.11
    (3.3)
    1.56
    (1.93)
    -0.9%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
    • Galapagar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Móstoles is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Móstoles might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Galapagar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Galapagar - Móstoles URJC were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Móstoles URJC - Galapagar 1:0
    07.01.2024 Móstoles URJC - Galapagar 0:0
    22.01.2023 Móstoles URJC - Galapagar 2:0
    18.09.2022 Galapagar - Móstoles URJC 0:1
    Latest results of Galapagar
    Latest results of Móstoles URJC
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C23136459:312845
    2Las Rozas23136439:231645
    3CD Mostoles23136440:271345
    4Leganes B24127544:172743
    5AD Torrejon23123837:31639
    6Pozuelo de Alarcon2399525:19636
    7Trival Valderas231031029:27233
    8Mexico FC24951032:32032
    9Galapagar23710625:32-731
    10San Sebastian Reyes B2379724:25-130
    11Union Adarve2386925:30-530
    12Villaverde San Andres2379721:26-530
    13Siello24731424:37-1324
    14Alcorcon B23661119:25-624
    15Carabanchel23581019:24-523
    16Parla23641319:38-1922
    17Tres Cantos23631421:38-1721
    18Ciudad de Madrid24471323:43-2019

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation