Galapagar vs Móstoles URJC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', 0 - 1, ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Galapagar
10.6%
Draw
24.6%
Móstoles URJC
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 27.5% 47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 26.9% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galapagar's form might have worsened.
  • Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Móstoles URJC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galapagar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Móstoles URJC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Galapagar - Móstoles URJC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.48
    (3.58)
    4.11
    (3.3)
    1.56
    (1.93)
    -0.9%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
    • Galapagar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Móstoles is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Móstoles might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Galapagar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Galapagar - Móstoles URJC were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Móstoles URJC - Galapagar 1:0
    07.01.2024 Móstoles URJC - Galapagar 0:0
    22.01.2023 Móstoles URJC - Galapagar 2:0
    18.09.2022 Galapagar - Móstoles URJC 0:1
    Latest results of Galapagar
    Latest results of Móstoles URJC
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C33189682:453763
    2Trival Valderas331851048:341459
    3AD Torrejon33169856:461057
    4Las Rozas33168957:391856
    5Leganes B33159962:313154
    6Union Adarve331481143:42150
    7CD Mostoles331481150:44650
    8San Sebastian Reyes B331113941:35646
    9Pozuelo de Alarcon3311121037:32545
    10Alcorcon B3311101235:32343
    11Villaverde San Andres3310131032:40-843
    12Galapagar3310131039:46-743
    13Mexico FC331191343:48-542
    14Siello331251636:45-941
    15Carabanchel339111330:33-338
    16Tres Cantos331032039:62-2333
    17Parla33762029:65-3627
    18Ciudad de Madrid33572131:71-4022

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation