Result
03/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Turkish Cup - Round 4
- Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Norway | VG+ |
Chances of winning
Alanyaspor
36.8% | Draw
26.5% | Galatasaray
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alanyaspor's performance.Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galatasaray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alanyaspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alanyaspor - Galatasaray Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↓
(3.04) |
3.45 ↓
(3.7) |
2.53 ↑
(2.08) |
8.3%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor - Galatasaray?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Alanyaspor (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Alanyaspor (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Alanyaspor (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Alanyaspor will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alanyaspor will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Alanyaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:38. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alanyaspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against Galatasaray?
Alanyaspor has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Galatasaray won against Alanyaspor?
Galatasaray has won 9 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alanyaspor - Galatasaray were as follows:
28.02.2026
Galatasaray
-
Alanyaspor
3:1
26.09.2025
Alanyaspor
-
Galatasaray
0:1
09.03.2025
Alanyaspor
-
Galatasaray
1:2
06.10.2024
Galatasaray
-
Alanyaspor
1:0
15.04.2024
Alanyaspor
-
Galatasaray
0:4
Latest results of Alanyaspor
Latest results of Galatasaray
Turkish Cup Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Alanyaspor | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:2 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Karagumruk | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 6 | Fethiyespor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 7 | Boluspor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 8 | Istanbulspor AS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Samsunspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Aliaga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
| 7 | Bodrumspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Besiktas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Gaziantep | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Rizespor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 8 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Ranking of third-placed teams | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:2 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )
