Result
1:2
03/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Turkish Cup - Round 4
- Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Norway | VG+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Yilmaz B. A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 29', 0 - 2, Nhaga R. ⚽, Yilmaz B. A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Keskin E. ↓, Hadergjonaj F. ↑,
- 46', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
- 46', Aksoy F. ↓, Akdag U. ↑,
- 59', Karaca E. ↓, Hwang Ui-Jo ↑,
- 59', Yalcin G. ↓, Mounie S. ↑,
- 67', Jakobs I. ↓, Singo W. ↑,
- 74', Makouta G. ↓, Celik I. ↑,
- 77', Sane L. ↓, Guner C. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 2, Mounie S. ⚽, Celik I. (A),
- 90', Elmali E. ↓, Kahraman Y. ↑,
- 90', Asprilla Y. ↓, Gurpuz G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alanyaspor
17% | Draw
23.6% | Galatasaray
59.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alanyaspor's form might have worsened.Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galatasaray's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alanyaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-14.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Galatasaray, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alanyaspor - Galatasaray Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.99 ↑
(3.04) |
4.84 ↑
(3.7) |
1.85 ↓
(2.08) |
-11%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor - Galatasaray?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Alanyaspor will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alanyaspor: 30% – 70%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 4 - 50%). Galatasaray (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Alanyaspor (1.91) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DNB - Alanyaspor (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Alanyaspor (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Galatasaray (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Alanyaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:38. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alanyaspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against Galatasaray?
Alanyaspor has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Galatasaray won against Alanyaspor?
Galatasaray has won 9 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alanyaspor - Galatasaray were as follows:
28.02.2026
Galatasaray
-
Alanyaspor
3:1
26.09.2025
Alanyaspor
-
Galatasaray
0:1
09.03.2025
Alanyaspor
-
Galatasaray
1:2
06.10.2024
Galatasaray
-
Alanyaspor
1:0
15.04.2024
Alanyaspor
-
Galatasaray
0:4
Latest results of Alanyaspor
Latest results of Galatasaray
Turkish Cup Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | -11 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | -10 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
Ranking of third-placed teams | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )
