Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 8
- Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (325/376) | 81% (262/325) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (325/376) | 81% (262/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 35% (14/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (51/83) | 71% (79/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Abraham T. ⚽,
- 26', Singo W. ↓, Sallai R. ↑,
- 34', Sanchez D. 🟥,
- 40', Topcu E. 🟨,
- 40', Osimhen V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 1, Gundogan I. ⚽, Torreira L. (A),
- 59', Sazdagi G. 🟨,
- 66', Topcu E. ↓, Uduokhai F. ↑,
- 67', Cerny V. ↓, Under C. ↑,
- 77', Gundogan I. ↓, Gabriel Sara ↑,
- 77', Akgun Y. ↓, Elmali E. ↑,
- 79', Uduokhai F. 🟨,
- 83', Abraham T. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
- 86', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Sane L. ↑,
- 86', Osimhen V. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
- 86', Ndidi W. ↓, Yilmaz R. ↑,
- 90', Toure E. B. 🟨,
- 90', Kokcu O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Galatasaray
57.5% | Draw
21.3% | Beşiktaş
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galatasaray's form might have worsened.Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beşiktaş's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+14.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galatasaray, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beşiktaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Galatasaray - Beşiktaş Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.39) |
4.36 ↓
(5.49) |
4.49 ↓
(6.85) |
5.9%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Galatasaray - Beşiktaş?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 62.1% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 2 - 50%). Beşiktaş (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 3.
- Galatasaray is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Beşiktaş has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Galatasaray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Galatasaray is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Beşiktaş: Tiknaz D. E.
(Inactive)
Ucan S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Abraham T.
(Injury)
Ndidi W.
(Injury)
Svensson J.
(Injury)
- We predict that Galatasaray will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Galatasaray won against Beşiktaş?
Galatasaray has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beşiktaş won against Galatasaray?
Beşiktaş has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Galatasaray - Beşiktaş were as follows:
29.03.2025
Beşiktaş
-
Galatasaray
2:1
28.10.2024
Galatasaray
-
Beşiktaş
2:1
03.08.2024
Galatasaray
-
Beşiktaş
0:5
03.03.2024
Beşiktaş
-
Galatasaray
0:1
21.10.2023
Galatasaray
-
Beşiktaş
2:1
Latest results of Galatasaray
Latest results of Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:4 | 18 | 25 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Besiktas | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Alanyaspor | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Antalyaspor | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Kasimpasa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Kocaelispor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Basaksehir | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6:20 | -14 | 5 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
