Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Galatasaray - Beşiktaş
04/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaTOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 3
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Chances of winning


Galatasaray
59.3%
Draw
20.4%
Beşiktaş
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.7% 17.4% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7% 16.7% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galatasaray's form might have worsened.
  • Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beşiktaş's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galatasaray, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beşiktaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Galatasaray - Beşiktaş Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.39)
    4.59
    (5.49)
    4.65
    (6.85)
    6.2%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Galatasaray - Beşiktaş?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 3.
    • Galatasaray is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Beşiktaş's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Galatasaray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Galatasaray is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Galatasaray will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Galatasaray - Beşiktaş were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Beşiktaş - Galatasaray 2:1
    28.10.2024 Galatasaray - Beşiktaş 2:1
    03.08.2024 Galatasaray - Beşiktaş 0:5
    03.03.2024 Beşiktaş - Galatasaray 0:1
    21.10.2023 Galatasaray - Beşiktaş 2:1
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    30.09.2025 Galatasaray - Liverpool 1:0
    26.09.2025 Alanyaspor - Galatasaray 0:1
    22.09.2025 Galatasaray - Konyaspor 3:1
    13.09.2025 Eyüpspor - Galatasaray 0:2
    Latest results of Beşiktaş
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray770019:21721
    2Trabzonspor852113:6717
    3Fenerbahce743012:5715
    4Goztepe734010:2813
    5Besiktas640211:8312
    6Samsunspor733110:8212
    7Gaziantep732210:12-211
    8Konyaspor631212:8410
    9Antalyaspor83149:13-410
    10Alanyaspor72328:719
    11Kasimpasa72237:8-18
    12Rizespor72239:11-28
    13Basaksehir61326:606
    14Eyupspor71244:10-65
    15Kayserispor80535:17-125
    16Genclerbirligi71155:10-54
    17Karagumruk71067:16-93
    18Kocaelispor70254:12-82

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig