Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Galatasaray - Beşiktaş
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 8
  • Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaTOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 3
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.61
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
86% (325/376)81% (262/325)
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.751.55
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1915
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
167
Passes
86% (325/376)81% (262/325)
Long passes
54% (28/52)35% (14/40)
Passes in final third
61% (51/83)71% (79/112)
Crosses
24% (4/17)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.76
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
716
Tackles
88% (7/8)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4436
Clearances
1834
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.550.75
Goals prevented
0.55-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Abraham T. ,
  • 26', Singo W. , Sallai R. ,
  • 34', Sanchez D. 🟥,
  • 40', Topcu E. 🟨,
  • 40', Osimhen V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 1, Gundogan I. , Torreira L. (A),
  • 59', Sazdagi G. 🟨,
  • 66', Topcu E. , Uduokhai F. ,
  • 67', Cerny V. , Under C. ,
  • 77', Gundogan I. , Gabriel Sara ,
  • 77', Akgun Y. , Elmali E. ,
  • 79', Uduokhai F. 🟨,
  • 83', Abraham T. , Rashica M. ,
  • 86', Yilmaz B. A. , Sane L. ,
  • 86', Osimhen V. , Icardi M. ,
  • 86', Ndidi W. , Yilmaz R. ,
  • 90', Toure E. B. 🟨,
  • 90', Kokcu O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Galatasaray
57.5%
Draw
21.3%
Beşiktaş
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.7% 17.4% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7% 16.7% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galatasaray's form might have worsened.
  • Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beşiktaş's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galatasaray, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beşiktaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Galatasaray - Beşiktaş Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.39)
    4.36
    (5.49)
    4.49
    (6.85)
    5.9%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Galatasaray - Beşiktaş?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 62.1%93.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 2 - 50%). Beşiktaş (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 3.
    • Galatasaray is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Beşiktaş has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Galatasaray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Galatasaray is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Beşiktaş: Tiknaz D. E. (Inactive) Ucan S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Abraham T. (Injury) Ndidi W. (Injury) Svensson J. (Injury)
    • We predict that Galatasaray will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Galatasaray - Beşiktaş were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Beşiktaş - Galatasaray 2:1
    28.10.2024 Galatasaray - Beşiktaş 2:1
    03.08.2024 Galatasaray - Beşiktaş 0:5
    03.03.2024 Beşiktaş - Galatasaray 0:1
    21.10.2023 Galatasaray - Beşiktaş 2:1
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    30.09.2025 Galatasaray - Liverpool 1:0
    26.09.2025 Alanyaspor - Galatasaray 0:1
    22.09.2025 Galatasaray - Konyaspor 3:1
    13.09.2025 Eyüpspor - Galatasaray 0:2
    Latest results of Beşiktaş
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray981022:41825
    2Trabzonspor962115:7820
    3Fenerbahce954014:6819
    4Gaziantep952215:14117
    5Goztepe944111:3816
    6Besiktas951315:11416
    7Samsunspor944113:9416
    8Alanyaspor934211:9213
    9Konyaspor932415:14111
    10Antalyaspor931511:16-510
    11Rizespor923410:13-39
    12Kasimpasa92348:11-39
    13Genclerbirligi92259:13-48
    14Eyupspor92256:11-58
    15Kocaelispor92258:14-68
    16Basaksehir91447:9-27
    17Kayserispor90546:20-145
    18Karagumruk91088:20-123

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig