Galícia vs Jequié – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Baiano - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
58
Corner kicks
56
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
11
Total shots
714
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
26
Corner kicks
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 31', 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Recife T. ,
  • 39', 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Rafael Mineiro ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 2 - 1, Rogerinho ,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 83', Rogerinho 🟥,
  • 90', Nael 🟥,

Chances of winning


Galícia
25.3%
Draw
30.6%
Jequié
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 28.2% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2% 26.6% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Galícia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Jequié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galícia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jequié than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Galícia - Jequié Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.62
    (3.57)
    3
    (3.25)
    2.08
    (1.98)
    8.9%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Galícia - Jequié?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Galícia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Jequié will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Galícia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Jequié is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Galícia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Jequié could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Galícia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Galícia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Galícia - Jequié were as follows:
    17.06.2023 Galícia - Jequié 0:0
    Latest results of Galícia
    07.02.2026 Porto SC - Galícia 1:0
    03.02.2026 Galícia - Bahia de Feira 1:2
    24.01.2026 Jacuipense - Galícia 2:1
    17.01.2026 Bahia - Galícia 3:0
    Latest results of Jequié
    04.02.2026 Jacuipense - Jequié 0:2
    29.01.2026 Bahia de Feira - Jequié 1:2
    18.01.2026 Juazeirense - Jequié 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bahia (1)Juazeirense (4)4 : 2
    2Vitoria (2)Jacuipense (3)2 : 1

    Final
    1Bahia (1)Vitoria (2)