Gama vs Ceilândia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Brasiliense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
52
Corner kicks
52
Total shots
104
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
52
Corner kicks
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Gama
51.7%
Draw
28.5%
Ceilândia
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 28.9% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 28% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gama than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Gama - Ceilândia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.93)
    3.18
    (3.15)
    4.57
    (3.82)
    10.4%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gama won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Gama is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gama won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gama won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gama - Ceilândia were as follows:
    08.03.2026 Ceilândia - Gama 1:1
    11.02.2026 Gama - Ceilândia 2:1
    17.02.2025 Ceilândia - Gama 2:0
    23.03.2024 Ceilândia - Gama 4:3
    16.03.2024 Gama - Ceilândia 0:0
    Latest results of Gama
    08.03.2026 Ceilândia - Gama 1:1
    28.02.2026 Capital CF Ltda - Gama 1:1
    25.02.2026 Gama - Goiás 2:3
    21.02.2026 Gama - ARUC 2:0
    18.02.2026 Gama - Monte Roraima 2:0
    Latest results of Ceilândia
    08.03.2026 Ceilândia - Gama 1:1
    28.02.2026 Brasiliense - Ceilândia 2:3
    25.02.2026 Ceilândia - Jacuipense 1:2
    21.02.2026 Ceilândia - Paranoá 4:1
    11.02.2026 Gama - Ceilândia 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1GamaCeilandia2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2SamambaiaSobradinho0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Final
    1GamaSobradinho1 : 0