Result
1:0 penalties
21/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Brasiliense - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | TV Record |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Gama
57.1% | Draw
27.2% | Sobradinho
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gama's performance.Sobradinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sobradinho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gama than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gama that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sobradinho than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sobradinho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gama - Sobradinho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.75) |
3.32 ↑
(3.1) |
5.75 ↑
(3.6) |
10.7%
(17.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gama won 4.
- In recent matches, Gama has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sobradinho is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Gama is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gama won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 2.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gama won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gama won against Sobradinho?
Gama has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sobradinho won against Gama?
Sobradinho has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gama - Sobradinho were as follows:
07.02.2026
Sobradinho
-
Gama
0:1
18.01.2025
Gama
-
Sobradinho
0:0
Latest results of Sobradinho
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Gama | Ceilandia | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Samambaia | Sobradinho | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Final
