Result
2:1
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | K-Ball |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | PSJ TV |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.43 | 0.80 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
86% (422/492) | 84% (304/364) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.43 | 0.80 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.30 | 2.60 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
86% (422/492) | 84% (304/364) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (16/39) | 44% (19/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (140/181) | 75% (101/134) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (7/20) | 19% (4/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.27 | 0.77 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (6/9) | 68% (13/19) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.60 | 1.30 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.60 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Kobayashi Y. ⚽, Ito T. (A),
- 35', Hummet D. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Kurata S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Erison ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽, Welton (A),
- 65', Kurata S. ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
- 66', Welton 🟨,
- 70', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
- 71', Ito T. ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
- 79', Wakizaka Y. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
- 79', Kawahara S. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
- 82', Welton ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 82', Lavi N. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
- 89', Suzuki T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
- 89', Hummet D. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka 35.4% | Draw 27.6% | Kawasaki Frontale 37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.65 ↑ (2.59) |
3.42 ↑ (3.38) |
2.55 ↓ (2.56) |
6.3% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Kawasaki has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Hayashi D.
(Inactive)
Meshino R.
(Inactive)
Okunuki K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Erison
(Knee Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
Oshima R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Gamba Osaka?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
25.05.2025
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Gamba Osaka
2:2
18.10.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Gamba Osaka
1:1
19.05.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Kawasaki Frontale
3:1
06.08.2023
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Gamba Osaka
3:4
09.04.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Kawasaki Frontale
2:0
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League