Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale
Result
2:1
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.80
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
98
Passes
86% (422/492)84% (304/364)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.302.60
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
98
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
810
Passes
86% (422/492)84% (304/364)
Long passes
41% (16/39)44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
77% (140/181)75% (101/134)
Crosses
35% (7/20)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.77
Throw-ins
1820
Fouls
108
Tackles
67% (6/9)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4541
Clearances
2424
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
2.601.30
Goals prevented
1.60-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Kobayashi Y. , Ito T. (A),
  • 35', Hummet D. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Kurata S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kobayashi Y. , Erison ,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Hummet D. , Welton (A),
  • 65', Kurata S. , Yamashita R. ,
  • 66', Welton 🟨,
  • 70', Marcinho , Miyagi T. ,
  • 71', Ito T. , Ienaga A. ,
  • 79', Wakizaka Y. , Ozeki Y. ,
  • 79', Kawahara S. , Tachibanada K. ,
  • 82', Welton , Juan Alano ,
  • 82', Lavi N. , Mitsuta M. ,
  • 89', Suzuki T. , Mito R. ,
  • 89', Hummet D. , Jebali I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
35.4%
Draw
27.6%
Kawasaki Frontale
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 27.6% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 28% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.59)
    3.42
    (3.38)
    2.55
    (2.56)
    6.3%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Kawasaki has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Hayashi D. (Inactive) Meshino R. (Inactive) Okunuki K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Erison (Knee Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 2:2
    18.10.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 1:1
    19.05.2024 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 3:1
    06.08.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 3:4
    09.04.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 2:0
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers31194848:282061
    2Vissel Kobe31176841:261557
    3Kyoto31168754:332156
    4Kashiwa Reysol311511543:291456
    5Machida31157947:331452
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima31157935:211452
    7Kawasaki Frontale31149855:401551
    8Urawa Reds31139939:32748
    9Gamba Osaka311441342:45-346
    10Cerezo Osaka3111101048:45343
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3110101133:36-340
    12Okayama311171328:33-540
    13FC Tokyo311171333:42-940
    14Avispa Fukuoka319101230:35-537
    15Nagoya Grampus31991338:43-536
    16Verdy31981420:35-1535
    17Yokohama F. Marinos31771729:41-1228
    18Yokohama FC31771720:36-1628
    19Shonan Bellmare31671828:55-2725
    20Albirex Niigata31491827:50-2321

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