Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita).

J1 League - Round 24
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	0.80
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
18	14
Shots on target
4	8
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
9	8
Passes
86% (422/492)	84% (304/364)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	0.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.30	2.60
Total shots
18	14
Shots on target
4	8
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
7	2
Shots inside the Box
10	11
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
9	8
Touches in opposition box
24	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
8	10
Passes
86% (422/492)	84% (304/364)
Long passes
41% (16/39)	44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
77% (140/181)	75% (101/134)
Crosses
35% (7/20)	19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.27	0.77
Throw-ins
18	20
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
67% (6/9)	68% (13/19)
Duels won
45	41
Clearances
24	24
Interceptions
3	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	2
xGOT faced
2.60	1.30
Goals prevented
1.60	-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Kobayashi Y. ⚽, Ito T. (A),
35', Hummet D. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Kurata S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Erison ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽, Welton (A),
65', Kurata S. ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
66', Welton 🟨,
70', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
71', Ito T. ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
79', Wakizaka Y. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
79', Kawahara S. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
82', Welton ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
82', Lavi N. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
89', Suzuki T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
89', Hummet D. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gamba Osaka
35.4%

Draw
27.6%

Kawasaki Frontale
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

27.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.59)	3.42 ↑ (3.38)	2.55 ↓ (2.56)	6.3% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 35% – 88%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Kawasaki has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Hayashi D. (Inactive) Meshino R. (Inactive) Okunuki K. (Injury)
There will not play in Kawasaki: Erison (Knee Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kawasaki Frontale?

Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Gamba Osaka?

Kawasaki Frontale has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:

25.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 2:2

18.10.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 1:1

19.05.2024 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 3:1

06.08.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 3:4

09.04.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 2:0

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

16.07.2025 Gamba Osaka - Montedio Yamagata 4:5 ✺

05.07.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka 0:1 ✺

22.06.2025 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 2:0 ✺

18.06.2025 Gamba Osaka - Veertien Mie 2:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale

16.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Sagamihara 0:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale 1:0 ✺

25.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 3:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Vissel Kobe 1:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	28	16	6	6	52:30	22	54
2	Kashiwa Reysol	28	15	8	5	42:28	14	53
3	Vissel Kobe	29	16	5	8	37:26	11	53
4	Kashima Antlers	28	16	4	8	41:27	14	52
5	Machida	29	15	5	9	45:31	14	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	29	15	5	9	34:20	14	50
7	Urawa Reds	28	13	8	7	39:30	9	47
8	Kawasaki Frontale	28	12	9	7	50:38	12	45
9	Gamba Osaka	29	12	4	13	38:44	-6	40
10	Cerezo Osaka	28	10	9	9	42:39	3	39
11	Okayama	28	11	6	11	26:28	-2	39
12	Avispa Fukuoka	28	9	10	9	28:28	0	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	28	8	9	11	31:36	-5	33
14	Verdy	28	8	8	12	16:28	-12	32
15	FC Tokyo	28	8	7	13	30:42	-12	31
16	Nagoya Grampus	28	7	8	13	34:42	-8	29
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	28	6	7	15	26:35	-9	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	28	6	7	15	26:47	-21	25
19	Yokohama FC	28	6	5	17	18:35	-17	23
20	Albirex Niigata	28	4	8	16	27:48	-21	20

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