Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale
Result
2:1
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.80
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
98
Passes
86% (422/492)84% (304/364)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.302.60
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
98
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
810
Passes
86% (422/492)84% (304/364)
Long passes
41% (16/39)44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
77% (140/181)75% (101/134)
Crosses
35% (7/20)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.77
Throw-ins
1820
Fouls
108
Tackles
67% (6/9)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4541
Clearances
2424
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
2.601.30
Goals prevented
1.60-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Kobayashi Y. , Ito T. (A),
  • 35', Hummet D. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Kurata S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kobayashi Y. , Erison ,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Hummet D. , Welton (A),
  • 65', Kurata S. , Yamashita R. ,
  • 66', Welton 🟨,
  • 70', Marcinho , Miyagi T. ,
  • 71', Ito T. , Ienaga A. ,
  • 79', Wakizaka Y. , Ozeki Y. ,
  • 79', Kawahara S. , Tachibanada K. ,
  • 82', Welton , Juan Alano ,
  • 82', Lavi N. , Mitsuta M. ,
  • 89', Suzuki T. , Mito R. ,
  • 89', Hummet D. , Jebali I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
35.4%
Draw
27.6%
Kawasaki Frontale
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 27.6% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 28% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.59)
    3.42
    (3.38)
    2.55
    (2.56)
    6.3%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Kawasaki has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Hayashi D. (Inactive) Meshino R. (Inactive) Okunuki K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Erison (Knee Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 2:2
    18.10.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 1:1
    19.05.2024 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 3:1
    06.08.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 3:4
    09.04.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 2:0
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers34206852:282466
    2Kashiwa Reysol341712553:332063
    3Kyoto341710758:362261
    4Vissel Kobe34187943:281561
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima34178939:231659
    6Kawasaki Frontale341511865:481756
    7Machida341681049:351456
    8Urawa Reds3414101040:36452
    9Gamba Osaka341551446:52-650
    10Cerezo Osaka3412101252:50246
    11FC Tokyo341191436:46-1042
    12Verdy341191422:35-1342
    13Avispa Fukuoka3410111332:37-541
    14Shimizu S-Pulse3410111338:44-641
    15Okayama341181530:37-741
    16Nagoya Grampus3410101442:50-840
    17Yokohama F. Marinos34971836:44-834
    18Yokohama FC34881823:39-1632
    19Shonan Bellmare34682029:58-2926
    20Albirex Niigata344102030:56-2622

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