Result
2:1
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | PSJ TV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (422/492) | 84% (304/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (422/492) | 84% (304/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (16/39) | 44% (19/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (140/181) | 75% (101/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.60 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.60 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Kobayashi Y. ⚽, Ito T. (A),
- 35', Hummet D. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Kurata S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Erison ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽, Welton (A),
- 65', Kurata S. ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
- 66', Welton 🟨,
- 70', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
- 71', Ito T. ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
- 79', Wakizaka Y. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
- 79', Kawahara S. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
- 82', Welton ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 82', Lavi N. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
- 89', Suzuki T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
- 89', Hummet D. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka
35.4% | Draw
27.6% | Kawasaki Frontale
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.59) |
3.42 ↑
(3.38) |
2.55 ↓
(2.56) |
6.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 35% – 88%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Gamba Osaka (1.91) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Kawasaki (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Kawasaki has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Hayashi D.
(Inactive)
Meshino R.
(Inactive)
Okunuki K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Erison
(Knee Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
Oshima R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Gamba Osaka?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
25.05.2025
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Gamba Osaka
2:2
18.10.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Gamba Osaka
1:1
19.05.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Kawasaki Frontale
3:1
06.08.2023
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Gamba Osaka
3:4
09.04.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Kawasaki Frontale
2:0
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
