Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        21/09/2025 at  03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  K League 1 - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Hong-kong | M Plus Live | 
|  South-korea | Coupang Play, IB Sports | 
|  World | K League TV, Onefootball | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 39% | 61% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 10 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 9 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 10 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 9 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 8 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 8 | 11 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Lee Gi-Hyuk 🟨, 
- 41', Song Jun-Seok 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Song Jun-Seok ↓, Park H. ↑, 
- 46', Goo Bon-Cheul ↓, Lee Sang-Heon ↑, 
- 47', 1 - 0, Tuci M. (Own goal), 
- 57', Lee Gi-Hyuk ↓, Hong Chul ↑, 
- 61', Kyeong-min K. ↓, Ahn Hyun-Beom ↑, 
- 70', Roh Kyung-Ho ↓, Jo Joon-Hyeon ↑, 
- 70', Andrigo ↓, Kim Do-Yoon ↑, 
- 81', Lee Sang-Heon ↓, Vitor Gabriel ↑, 
- 87', Luan Dias ↓, Choi Kyu-Baek ↑, 
- 87', Sabbag P. ↓, Choi Chi-Ung ↑, 
- 90', Kang Joon-Hyuck ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑, 
- 90+4', Hwang Jae-yun 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Suwon 30.4%
 | Draw 27.5%
 | Gangwon 42.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Suwon - Gangwon Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 3.1 ↑ (2.8)
 | 3.45 ↑ (3.4)
 | 2.26 ↓ (2.46)
 | 5.5% (5.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Suwon - Gangwon?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            8 users predict this event. Suwon will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Gangwon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Gangwon: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 2 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 1.
- Suwon is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gangwon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Gangwon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Gangwon has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Suwon won against Gangwon?
                    
                    
                        
                            Suwon has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Gangwon won against Suwon?
                    
                    
                        
                             Gangwon has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Suwon - Gangwon were as follows:
                                                        
                                03.05.2025 
                                Gangwon 
                                - 
                                Suwon 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                09.11.2024 
                                Suwon 
                                - 
                                Gangwon 
                                4:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.09.2024 
                                Gangwon 
                                - 
                                Suwon 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                15.06.2024 
                                Gangwon 
                                - 
                                Suwon 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                05.05.2024 
                                Suwon 
                                - 
                                Gangwon 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Gangwon                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
South Korean K-League 1 Table
Championship Group|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Jeonbuk ✔ | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 59:30 | 29 | 71 | 
| 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56:39 | 17 | 58 | 
| 3 | Daejeon | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:41 | 9 | 58 | 
| 4 | Pohang | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 40:45 | -5 | 51 | 
| 5 | Seoul | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 48 | 
| 6 | Gangwon | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:40 | -6 | 44 | 
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jeonbuk is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )