Haverfordwest County vs Gap Connahs Quay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay
Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 8
  • Referee: Jones A. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
27
Corner Kicks
24
Yellow Cards
63
Red Cards
10
Total shots
614
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Cook J. 🟨,
  • 8', Watts R. , Shepherd T. ,
  • 13', 0 - 1, West C. ,
  • 13', 🟨,
  • 27', Cowan D. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Ahmun B. (Pen),
  • 45', Humphreys I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 62', Ahmun B. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Hughes R. ,
  • 70', Ahmun B. 🟨,
  • 74', Makwiramiti P. , Scotcher E. ,
  • 74', Owen L. , Watkins A. ,
  • 74', Humphreys I. , Thomas H. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 83', Rees D. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Hughes R. ,
  • 90+3', West C. , Woodcock M. ,
  • 90+3', Cook J. , Fregapane M. ,

Chances of winning


Haverfordwest County
37.3%
Draw
28.7%
Gap Connahs Quay
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 26.9% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 26.3% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haverfordwest County's form might have worsened.
  • Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haverfordwest County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.13)
    3.23
    (3.43)
    2.72
    (3.09)
    8.1%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Connahs Quay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Connahs Quay has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:26. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Haverfordwest won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay were as follows:
    12.10.2024 Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay 0:0
    11.08.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - Haverfordwest County 0:1
    19.11.2023 Gap Connahs Quay - Haverfordwest County 1:2
    23.09.2023 Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay 1:3
    31.01.2023 Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay 2:1
    Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS1182130:72326
    2Penybont1172218:61223
    3Caernarfon1162327:161120
    4Connahs Q1043314:13115
    5Bala114349:14-515
    6Colwyn Bay1135313:9414
    7Barry1135314:14014
    8Flint1032519:24-511
    9Cardiff Metropolitan1125416:22-611
    10Briton Ferry1024416:17-110
    11Haverfordwest1022610:20-108
    12Llanelli112186:30-247

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