Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 8
- Referee: Jones A. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
6 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Cook J. 🟨,
- 8', Watts R. ↓, Shepherd T. ↑,
- 13', 0 - 1, West C. ⚽,
- 13', 🟨,
- 27', Cowan D. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Ahmun B. (Pen),
- 45', Humphreys I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 62', Ahmun B. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 2, Hughes R. ⚽,
- 70', Ahmun B. 🟨,
- 74', Makwiramiti P. ↓, Scotcher E. ↑,
- 74', Owen L. ↓, Watkins A. ↑,
- 74', Humphreys I. ↓, Thomas H. ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 80', 🟨,
- 83', Rees D. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 3, Hughes R. ⚽,
- 90+3', West C. ↓, Woodcock M. ↑,
- 90+3', Cook J. ↓, Fregapane M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Haverfordwest County 37.3% | Draw 28.7% | Gap Connahs Quay 34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haverfordwest County's form might have worsened.Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haverfordwest County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.48 ↑ (2.13) |
3.23 ↓ (3.43) |
2.72 ↓ (3.09) |
8.1% (8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Connahs Quay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Connahs Quay has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:26. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Haverfordwest won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Haverfordwest County won against Gap Connahs Quay?
Haverfordwest County has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gap Connahs Quay won against Haverfordwest County?
Gap Connahs Quay has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay were as follows:
12.10.2024
Haverfordwest County
-
Gap Connahs Quay
0:0
11.08.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Haverfordwest County
0:1
19.11.2023
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Haverfordwest County
1:2
23.09.2023
Haverfordwest County
-
Gap Connahs Quay
1:3
31.01.2023
Haverfordwest County
-
Gap Connahs Quay
2:1
Latest results of Haverfordwest County
Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | TNS | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 30:7 | 23 | 26 |
2 | Penybont | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:6 | 12 | 23 |
3 | Caernarfon | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 20 |
4 | Connahs Q | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
5 | Bala | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 15 |
6 | Colwyn Bay | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
7 | Barry | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 14 |
8 | Flint | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 19:24 | -5 | 11 |
9 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
10 | Briton Ferry | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 10 |
11 | Haverfordwest | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 8 |
12 | Llanelli | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:30 | -24 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )