Gap Connahs Quay vs Haverfordwest County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
25/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 14
  • Referee: Jones J. A. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
93
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
158
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
82
Corner Kicks
93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Poole D. ,
  • 28', Pennock T. 🟨,
  • 30', Walters G. 🟨,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Cook J. ,
  • 37', Shephard C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Watts R. , Jones O. ,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Walters G. ,
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 60', Jones A. 🟨,
  • 68', Makwiramiti P. , Kenniford K. ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 70', West C. 🟨,
  • 71', West C. , Bratley C. ,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Cowan D. ,
  • 83', Hughes R. , Woodcock M. ,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Rees D. ,
  • 90', 3 - 3, Ahmun B. (Pen),
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gap Connahs Quay
60%
Draw
23.6%
Haverfordwest County
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 24.4% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 23.2% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gap Connahs Quay's performance.
  • Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haverfordwest County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Gap Connahs Quay - Haverfordwest County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.71)
    3.42
    (3.8)
    4.94
    (4.3)
    23.9%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 2.
    • Connahs Quay is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Haverfordwest's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Haverfordwest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Connahs Quay has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Connahs Quay is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Connahs Quay will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:11. (average 1.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gap Connahs Quay - Haverfordwest County were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay 1:3
    12.10.2024 Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay 0:0
    11.08.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - Haverfordwest County 0:1
    19.11.2023 Gap Connahs Quay - Haverfordwest County 1:2
    23.09.2023 Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay 1:3
    Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
    Latest results of Haverfordwest County
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS26212370:205065
    2Connahs Q26148451:292250
    3Penybont26117837:40-340
    4Caernarfon27109849:371239
    5Colwyn Bay271071035:33237
    6Barry2699836:27936

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