Gastao Elias vs Elmer Moeller – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Francavilla Challenger Men Gastao Elias - Elmer Moeller
Result
1:2
09/05/2024 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Stellabotte N. (Ita)

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
56%76%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (34/54)60% (43/72)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (15/43)52% (12/23)
Break Points Saved
65% (11/17)67% (8/12)
1st Return Points Won
40% (29/72)39% (21/54)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (11/23)65% (28/43)
Break Points Converted
33% (4/12)35% (6/17)
Max Points In Row
46
Service Points Won
49% (48/97)58% (53/92)
Return Points Won
42% (39/92)51% (49/97)
Total Points Won
46% (87/189)54% (102/189)
Max Games In Row
43
Service Games Won
54% (7/13)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)46% (6/13)
Total Games Won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Gastao Elias
51.1%
Elmer Moeller
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gastao Elias's form might have worsened.
  • Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elmer Moeller's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gastao Elias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elmer Moeller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gastao Elias - Elmer Moeller Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.53)

    1.92
    (2.37)
    6.7%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Gastao Elias - Elmer Moeller?
  • Users Predictions: Elmer Moeller will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Elias is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Moeller is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Moeller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Elias will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Gastao Elias
    Latest results of Elmer Moeller
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Jacquet K. (1)Preda L.2 : 0
    2Stricker D. (Alt)Jubb P.2 : 0
    3Coppejans K. (Alt)Collarini A. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Cachin P. (Q)Trungelliti M. (5)0 : 2
    5Skatov T. (3)Engel J. (Q)2 : 1
    6Paire B. (WC)Fonio G. (Q)2 : 1
    7Denolly C. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (WC)0 : 2
    8Albot R.Buse I. (8)2 : 0
    9Mena F. (6)Vatutin A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Chidekh C. (Alt)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    11Barrere G.Ymer E. (Alt)1 : 2
    12Travaglia S. (Q)Karatsev A. (4)0 : 2
    13Lajal M. (7)Dalla Valle E. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Berrettini J. (Q)Butvilas E.2 : 0
    15Carboni L. (WC)Sanchez Jover C. (Alt)1 : 2
    16Erhard M. (Alt)Ajdukovic D. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Jacquet K. (1)Stricker D.1 : 2
    2Coppejans K.Trungelliti M. (5)2 : 0
    3Skatov T. (3)Paire B.0 : 2
    4Maestrelli F.Albot R.2 : 1
    5Vatutin A.Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Ymer E.Karatsev A. (4)2 : 0
    7Lajal M. (7)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    8Sanchez Jover C.Erhard M.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Stricker D.Coppejans K.2 : 0
    2Paire B.Maestrelli F.1 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Ymer E.2 : 1
    4Lajal M. (7)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Stricker D. (RET.)Maestrelli F.1 : 1
    2Vacherot V.Lajal M. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Maestrelli F.Vacherot V.2 : 0