Gastao Elias vs Henrique Rocha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/11/2025 at 08:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
53%68%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (33/48)81% (43/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (20/42)52% (13/25)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
23% (12/53)33% (16/48)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (12/25)52% (22/42)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)50% (4/8)
Winners
2127
Unforced Errors
3031
Net Points Won
92% (11/12)89% (17/19)
Service Points Won
58% (52/90)72% (56/78)
Return Points Won
28% (22/78)42% (38/90)
Total Points Won
44% (74/168)56% (94/168)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)93% (13/14)
Return Games Won
7% (1/14)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
39% (11/28)61% (17/28)

Chances of winning


Gastao Elias
36.5%
Henrique Rocha
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 45.3%

Gastao Elias - Henrique Rocha Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.52
(1.67)

1.48
(2.1)
7.3%
(7.8%)
What is the prediction for Gastao Elias - Henrique Rocha?
  • Users Predictions: Henrique Rocha will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Henrique Rocha will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Elias is ranked ATP: 380. Rocha is ranked ATP: 153.
    • Elias has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rocha is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Elias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rocha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Rocha will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Elias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gastao Elias - Henrique Rocha were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Gastao Elias - Henrique Rocha 2:1
    05.11.2024 Gastao Elias - Henrique Rocha 0:2
    Latest results of Gastao Elias
    Latest results of Henrique Rocha
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Feldbausch K.2 : 0
    2Bondioli F. (NG)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    3Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Rocha F. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cadenasso G. (SE)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    5Moller E. (3)Araujo P. (WC)2 : 0
    6Michalski D.Curras Abasolo T. (Q)2 : 1
    7Blancaneaux G.Napolitano S. (PR)2 : 0
    8Pereira T.Lopez Montagud C. (Q)0 : 2
    9Giustino L. (7)Cretu C. (LL)2 : 0
    10Gakhov I.Martin A. (Q)1 : 2
    11Vatutin A. (LL)Agamenone F.2 : 1
    12Elias G. (WC)Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    13Kolar Z. (8)Damas M.1 : 2
    14Andreev A. (PR)Marmousez L. (Q)1 : 2
    15Sanchez Izquierdo N.Sanchez Jover C. (Q)0 : 2
    16Jianu F. C.Faria J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 1
    2Santamarta Roig A.Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    3Moller E. (3)Michalski D.2 : 1
    4Blancaneaux G.Lopez Montagud C.1 : 2
    5Giustino L. (RET.) (7)Martin A.0 : 1
    6Vatutin A.Rocha H. (4)2 : 0
    7Damas M.Marmousez L.0 : 2
    8Sanchez Jover C.Jianu F. C.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    2Moller E. (3)Lopez Montagud C.2 : 0
    3Martin A.Vatutin A.2 : 0
    4Marmousez L.Jianu F. C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Merida Aguilar D. (5)Moller E. (3)0 : 2
    2Martin A.Marmousez L.2 : 1

    Final
    1Moller E. (3)Martin A.2 : 0