Gastao Elias vs Lorenzo Carboni – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Poznan Challenger Men Gastao Elias - Lorenzo Carboni
Result
2:0
17/06/2024 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan (Poland) - Qualification, clay - Final
  • Referee: Sobieraj W. (Pol)

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
51%61%
1st Serve Points Won
100% (20/20)52% (14/27)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (10/19)29% (5/17)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)17% (1/6)
1st Return Points Won
56% (15/27)30% (6/20)
2nd Return Points Won
71% (12/17)47% (9/19)
Break Points Converted
83% (5/6)0% (0/1)
Max Points In Row
74
Service Points Won
77% (30/39)40% (17/42)
Return Points Won
60% (25/42)23% (9/39)
Total Points Won
68% (55/81)32% (26/81)
Max Games In Row
111
Service Games Won
100% (7/7)17% (1/6)
Return Games Won
83% (5/6)0% (0/7)
Total Games Won
92% (12/13)8% (1/13)

Chances of winning


Gastao Elias
73.1%
Lorenzo Carboni
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gastao Elias's performance.
  • Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Carboni might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gastao Elias that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gastao Elias - Lorenzo Carboni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.42)

    3.47
    (2.66)
    7.2%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Elias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Elias is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Gastao Elias
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Vatutin A. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Wazny A. (WC)Nagal S.1 : 2
    3Mrva M. (Q)Molleker R. (Q)2 : 0
    4Zakaria F. (WC)Krumich M. (Q)0 : 2
    5Misolic F. (4)Kasnikowski M.2 : 0
    6Poljicak M.Kolar Z. (Q)0 : 2
    7Berkieta T. (WC)Michalski D. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Alvarez Varona N. (LL)Rodionov J. (7)1 : 2
    9Skatov T. (9)Albot R.2 : 0
    10Barton H. (LL)Kodat T. (Q)2 : 0
    11Dedura D. (Q)Martineau M.0 : 2
    12Squire H.Svrcina D. (3)0 : 2
    13Mena F. (RET.) (8)Vallejo D.0 : 1
    14Vacherot V.Giustino L.0 : 2
    15Durasovic V.Ferreira Silva F.2 : 0
    16Yevseyev D.Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Nagal S.2 : 1
    2Mrva M.Krumich M.1 : 2
    3Misolic F. (4)Kolar Z.2 : 0
    4Michalski D.Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    5Skatov T. (9)Barton H.0 : 2
    6Martineau M.Svrcina D. (3)0 : 2
    7Vallejo D.Giustino L.1 : 2
    8Durasovic V.Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Krumich M.2 : 0
    2Misolic F. (4)Rodionov J. (7)2 : 0
    3Barton H.Svrcina D. (3)0 : 2
    4Giustino L.Tirante T. A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Misolic F. (4)0 : 2
    2Svrcina D. (3)Tirante T. A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Misolic F. (4)Svrcina D. (3)2 : 0