Gastao Elias vs Lucas Poullain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Porto Men Gastao Elias - Lucas Poullain
Result
2:1
27/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Porto, hard - Final

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
100

Chances of winning


Gastao Elias
57.2%
Lucas Poullain
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gastao Elias's performance.
  • Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Poullain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gastao Elias that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Poullain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gastao Elias - Lucas Poullain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.85)

    2.18
    (1.85)
    7.3%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Elias is ranked ATP: 318. Poullain is ranked ATP: 387.
    • Elias has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Poullain is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Elias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    Latest results of Gastao Elias
    26.07.2025 Laurent Lokoli - Gastao Elias Elias G. walkover
    23.07.2025 Gastao Elias - Tiago Silva 2:0
    Latest results of Lucas Poullain
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Moro Canas A. (1)Graca J.2 : 0
    2Parker S.Moroni F.0 : 2
    3Polmans M.Nefve A.2 : 0
    4Dhamne M.Lokoli L. (7)0 : 2
    5Elias G. (4)Silva T.2 : 0
    6Rossi L.Forcano I.1 : 2
    7Searle H.Ursu V.2 : 0
    8Freire Da Silva A.Andaloro F. (5)1 : 2
    9Rosenkranz M. (6)Potenza L.0 : 2
    10Pinho T.Maia H.1 : 2
    11Leote Prata V.Batista D.2 : 0
    12Torres T.Added D. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    13Poullain L. (8)Rocha F.2 : 0
    14Morais D.Marques D.1 : 2
    15Braithwaite T.Malige M.0 : 2
    16Fernandez Flores D.Echargui M. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Moro Canas A. (1)Moroni F.0 : 2
    2Polmans M.Lokoli L. (7)0 : 2
    3Elias G. (4)Forcano I.2 : 0
    4Searle H.Andaloro F. (5)1 : 2
    5Potenza L.Maia H.2 : 0
    6Leote Prata V.Torres T.0 : 2
    7Poullain L. (8)Marques D.2 : 0
    8Malige M.Echargui M. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Moroni F.Lokoli L. (7)1 : 2
    2Elias G. (4)Andaloro F. (5)2 : 0
    3Potenza L.Torres T.2 : 1
    4Poullain L. (8)Malige M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Lokoli L. (7)Elias G. (WO.) (4)
    2Potenza L.Poullain L. (8)0 : 2

    Final
    1Elias G. (4)Poullain L. (8)2 : 1