Gastao Elias vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Valencia Challenger Men Gastao Elias - Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Result
0:2
06/10/2024 at 11:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
58%69%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (16/23)84% (26/31)
2nd Serve Points Won
29% (5/17)57% (8/14)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/4)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
19% (6/31)35% (8/23)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (6/14)71% (12/17)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)100% (4/4)
Max Points In Row
49
Service Points Won
51% (19/37)75% (33/44)
Return Points Won
25% (11/44)49% (18/37)
Total Points Won
37% (30/81)63% (51/81)
Max Games In Row
19
Service Games Won
43% (3/7)100% (8/8)
Return Games Won
0% (0/8)57% (4/7)
Total Games Won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Gastao Elias
36.7%
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 54.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gastao Elias's form might have worsened.
  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Alvarez Varona's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gastao Elias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gastao Elias - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.07)

    1.47
    (1.66)
    7.4%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Gastao Elias - Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Elias is ranked ATP: 305. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 434.
    • Recent matches Elias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alvarez Varona is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alvarez Varona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Our prediction for today's Alvarez Varona to win the game is with odds 1.64.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Gastao Elias
    Latest results of Nicolas Alvarez Varona
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Martinez P. (1)Nava E.2 : 0
    2Gea A.Zapata Miralles B. (WC)2 : 1
    3Molleker R. (Alt)Sanchez Jover C. (Q)0 : 2
    4Buse I.Rocha H. (8)2 : 0
    5Galan D. E. (4)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Pellegrino A.Brancaccio R. (Q)0 : 2
    7Arnaboldi F.Choinski J.0 : 2
    8Schwaerzler J. J. (Q)Kopriva V. (6)2 : 0
    9Moreno De Alboran N. (7)Andreev A.2 : 0
    10Barranco Cosano J.Roca Batalla O.2 : 1
    11Taberner C.Jianu F. C. (Alt)2 : 0
    12Negritu Ch. (Q)Tirante T. A. (3)0 : 2
    13Ramos A. (5)Moeller E. (SE)0 : 2
    14Gakhov I. (Q)Faria J.1 : 2
    15Novak D. (Q)Dodig M.2 : 0
    16Paire B. (WC)Garin C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Martinez P. (1)Gea A.2 : 0
    2Sanchez Jover C.Buse I.0 : 2
    3Galan D. E. (4)Brancaccio R.2 : 0
    4Choinski J.Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 0
    5Moreno De Alboran N. (7)Barranco Cosano J.2 : 1
    6Taberner C.Tirante T. A. (3)1 : 2
    7Moeller E.Faria J.1 : 2
    8Novak D.Garin C. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Martinez P. (1)Buse I.2 : 0
    2Galan D. E. (4)Choinski J.2 : 1
    3Moreno De Alboran N. (7)Tirante T. A. (3)2 : 1
    4Faria J.Novak D.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Martinez P. (1)Galan D. E. (4)2 : 0
    2Moreno De Alboran N. (7)Faria J.1 : 2

    Final
    1Martinez P. (1)Faria J.2 : 0