Gauthier Onclin vs Lucas Poullain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
54%60%
1st serve points won
61% (20/33)60% (29/48)
2nd serve points won
57% (16/28)41% (13/32)
Break Points Saved
4/66/10
1st return points won
40% (19/48)42% (14/33)
2nd return points won
59% (19/32)39% (11/28)
Break Points Converted
4/102/6
Winners
3716
Unforced errors
4118
Net points won
71% (12/17)54% (7/13)
Service Points Won
61% (37/61)53% (42/80)
Return Points Won
48% (38/80)39% (24/61)
Total Points Won
53% (75/141)47% (66/141)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Return games won
40% (4/10)20% (2/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Gauthier Onclin
65.1%
Lucas Poullain
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gauthier Onclin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gauthier Onclin's performance.
  • Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Poullain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gauthier Onclin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Poullain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gauthier Onclin - Lucas Poullain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.72)

    2.66
    (1.98)
    7.2%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Gauthier Onclin - Lucas Poullain?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Onclin (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Poullain (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5 Games - Poullain (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3 Games - Poullain (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5 Games - Poullain (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Poullain (4.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Gauthier Onclin will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Onclin (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Poullain (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Onclin is ranked ATP: 273. Poullain is ranked ATP: 421.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Onclin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Onclin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gauthier Onclin - Lucas Poullain were as follows:
    11.06.2025 Lucas Poullain - Gauthier Onclin 0:2
    22.01.2023 Gauthier Onclin - Lucas Poullain 2:0
    Latest results of Gauthier Onclin
    Latest results of Lucas Poullain
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bertola R.0 : 2
    2Holmgren A.Faurel T. (WC)2 : 1
    3Sels J.Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    4Lokoli L. (WC)Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    5Glinka D. (4)Added D.1 : 2
    6Krumich M.Cassone M.0 : 2
    7Smith K.Martineau M.1 : 2
    8Kotov P.Chidekh C. (6)2 : 1
    9Rodionov J. (5)Janvier M. (Q)2 : 1
    10Knaff A. (LL)Visker N. (Q)2 : 0
    11Onclin G.Gueymard Wayenburg S. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paris T.Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    13Tabur C. (7)Nishikori K.2 : 0
    14Ghibaudo A. (Q)Bailly G. A.2 : 1
    15Perot R. (Alt)Romano F. (Q)1 : 2
    16Brady P. (Q)Herbert P. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Bertola R.Holmgren A.2 : 0
    2Blancaneaux G.Gojo B. (8)1 : 2
    3Added D.Cassone M.0 : 2
    4Martineau M.Kotov P.1 : 2
    5Rodionov J. (5)Knaff A.2 : 0
    6Onclin G.Poullain L.2 : 0
    7Tabur C. (7)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0
    8Romano F.Brady P.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Bertola R.Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    2Cassone M.Kotov P.0 : 2
    3Rodionov J. (5)Onclin G.2 : 0
    4Tabur C. (7)Romano F.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gojo B. (8)Kotov P.1 : 2
    2Rodionov J. (5)Romano F.1 : 2

    Final
    1Kotov P.Romano F.2 : 0