Alacranes de Durango vs Gavilanes de Matamoros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros
Result
3:1
04/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 13

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, ,
  • 31', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 🟥,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Alacranes de Durango
50.9%
Draw
25.9%
Gavilanes de Matamoros
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 27.4% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 26.4% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alacranes de Durango's performance.
  • Gavilanes de Matamoros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gavilanes de Matamoros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alacranes de Durango that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gavilanes de Matamoros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (2.17)
    3.51
    (3.3)
    3.91
    (2.94)
    10.1%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 4.
    • Recent matches Alacranes de Durango is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gavilanes Matamoros is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
    • Alacranes de Durango will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:2 (average 2.5:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alacranes de Durango won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:1 (average 2.8:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros 1:0
    09.03.2024 Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros 4:1
    07.10.2023 Gavilanes de Matamoros - Alacranes de Durango 0:3
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Alacranes de Durango2200009:27
    2Tritones Vallarta2200004:07
    3Cimarrones de Sonora2200004:16
    4Los Cabos2200004:26
    5Tigres de Alica2101002:14
    6Ensenada FC2100012:14
    7Tecos2100015:63
    8Guerreros de Autlan2100013:63
    9ACF Zapotlanejo2001013:52
    10Leones Negros 22001012:31
    11Mineros de Fresnillo2001012:41
    12Reboceros de La Piedad2000022:50
    13UA Zacatecas2000022:50
    14Colima FC2000020:30


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca2200005:07
    2Calor De San Pedro2200003:16
    3Santiago2200002:06
    4Zitacuaro2101004:25
    5Zacatepec2100013:14
    6Correcaminos 22101001:04
    7Lobos ULMX2100012:13
    8Chilpancingo2100012:43
    9Cordobes FC2001012:31
    10Matamoros2001010:11
    11Halcones2001010:11
    12Atletico Hidalgo2001011:31
    13Canamy2000021:40
    14Ciervos2000020:50


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz2200006:07
    2Celaya2100106:44
    3Inter Playa Del Carmen2100103:24
    4Deportiva Venados1100003:13
    5Heroes de Zaci2100011:13
    6Pioneros2100012:33
    7Dragones Toluca2100012:33
    8Tapachula2100012:33
    9Chapulineros2100011:23
    10Montaneses1010002:22
    11Canoneros2010013:42
    12Chiapas2000020:20
    13Neza FC2000020:40

          Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )