Result
3:1
04/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 13
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 🟥,
- 90+4', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Alacranes de Durango 50.9% | Draw 25.9% | Gavilanes de Matamoros 23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alacranes de Durango's performance.Gavilanes de Matamoros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gavilanes de Matamoros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alacranes de Durango that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gavilanes de Matamoros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↓ (2.17) |
3.52 ↑ (3.3) |
3.92 ↑ (2.94) |
10.1% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 4.
- Recent matches Alacranes de Durango is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Gavilanes Matamoros is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
- Alacranes de Durango will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:2 (average 2.5:0.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Alacranes de Durango won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:1 (average 2.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Alacranes de Durango won against Gavilanes de Matamoros?
Alacranes de Durango has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gavilanes de Matamoros won against Alacranes de Durango?
Gavilanes de Matamoros has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros were as follows:
11.05.2024
Alacranes de Durango
-
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1:0
09.03.2024
Alacranes de Durango
-
Gavilanes de Matamoros
4:1
07.10.2023
Gavilanes de Matamoros
-
Alacranes de Durango
0:3
Latest results of Alacranes de Durango
Latest results of Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | WO | D | LO | L | | Pts |
1 | Los Cabos | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:7 | 19 |
2 | Alacranes de Durango | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:8 | 17 |
3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 17 |
4 | Tecos | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:9 | 17 |
5 | Tritones Vallarta | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 15 |
6 | Ensenada FC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 14 |
7 | Tigres de Alica | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 11 |
8 | Leones Negros 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 11 |
9 | UA Zacatecas | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 8 |
10 | Guerreros de Autlan | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:12 | 7 |
11 | Colima FC | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 7 |
12 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:15 | 5 |
13 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8:18 | 3 |
14 | ACF Zapotlanejo | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:19 | 2 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | WO | D | LO | L | | Pts |
1 | Apodaca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:4 | 20 |
2 | Santiago | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 14 |
3 | Calor De San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 14 |
4 | Zacatepec | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:3 | 13 |
5 | Matamoros | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:6 | 10 |
6 | Correcaminos 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 10 |
7 | Halcones | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:7 | 9 |
8 | Cordobes FC | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 9 |
9 | Lobos ULMX | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 9 |
10 | Canamy | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | 9 |
11 | Chilpancingo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7:14 | 9 |
12 | Zitacuaro | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:13 | 6 |
13 | Ciervos | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:14 | 5 |
14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:14 | 4 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | WO | D | LO | L | | Pts |
1 | Racing de Veracruz | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:0 | 19 |
2 | Heroes de Zaci | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 14 |
3 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
4 | Deportiva Venados | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
5 | Montaneses | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 11 |
6 | Tapachula | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:8 | 10 |
7 | Chiapas | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 9 |
8 | Pioneros | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
9 | Neza FC | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | 8 |
10 | Celaya | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13:16 | 7 |
11 | Canoneros | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | 6 |
12 | Dragones Toluca | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
13 | Chapulineros | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )