Alacranes de Durango vs Gavilanes de Matamoros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
04/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 13

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, ,
  • 31', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 🟥,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Alacranes de Durango
50.9%
Draw
25.9%
Gavilanes de Matamoros
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 27.4% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 26.4% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alacranes de Durango's performance.
  • Gavilanes de Matamoros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gavilanes de Matamoros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alacranes de Durango that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gavilanes de Matamoros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (2.17)
    3.51
    (3.3)
    3.91
    (2.94)
    10.1%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 4.
    • Recent matches Alacranes de Durango is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gavilanes Matamoros is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
    • Alacranes de Durango will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:2 (average 2.5:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alacranes de Durango won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:1 (average 2.8:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros 1:0
    09.03.2024 Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros 4:1
    07.10.2023 Gavilanes de Matamoros - Alacranes de Durango 0:3
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Alacranes de Durango ✔ 2016010354:1457
    2Cimarrones de Sonora2111160336:1543
    3Tigres de Alica2113020637:2043
    4Tecos2013020544:2843
    5Leones Negros 22112020734:2140
    6Tritones Vallarta2010200827:2436
    7Mineros de Fresnillo218132728:3332
    8Los Cabos2090101030:3129
    9Guerreros de Autlan207041832:3327
    10Ensenada FC2170201222:3925
    11UA Zacatecas1960301020:3422
    12Reboceros de La Piedad2050111326:4418
    13ACF Zapotlanejo2040101529:5714
    14Colima FC2020201616:429


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca ✔ 2115220240:1754
    2Santiago2010051426:1936
    3Zacatepec219070519:1035
    4Halcones218051735:2534
    5Correcaminos 2218060720:1532
    6Club Calor198061425:2231
    7Lobos ULMX218060725:1930
    8Matamoros208050722:1729
    9Cordobes FC216150923:2225
    10Chilpancingo216070827:3425
    11Zitacuaro214180818:2623
    12Canamy204071826:3421
    13Ciervos2131311316:3816
    14Atletico Hidalgo2031411121:4516


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz ✔ 1917020039:757
    2Celaya2011121538:2341
    3Deportiva Venados199141445:2137
    4Inter Playa Del Carmen209231529:2235
    5Chiapas199023530:2232
    6Montaneses198220726:2031
    7Pioneros198111827:2829
    8Tapachula1980011037:3128
    9Chapulineros194160818:2621
    10Heroes de Zaci186021921:3421
    11Neza FC1950201221:5019
    12Dragones Toluca2030301417:3813
    13Canoneros1822111213:3912

          Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Alacranes de Durango is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Apodaca is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Racing de Veracruz is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )