Alacranes de Durango vs Gavilanes de Matamoros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
04/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 13

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, ,
  • 31', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 🟥,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Alacranes de Durango
50.9%
Draw
25.9%
Gavilanes de Matamoros
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 27.4% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 26.4% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alacranes de Durango's performance.
  • Gavilanes de Matamoros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gavilanes de Matamoros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alacranes de Durango that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gavilanes de Matamoros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (2.17)
    3.51
    (3.3)
    3.91
    (2.94)
    10.1%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 4.
    • Recent matches Alacranes de Durango is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gavilanes Matamoros is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
    • Alacranes de Durango will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:2 (average 2.5:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alacranes de Durango won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:1 (average 2.8:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros 1:0
    09.03.2024 Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros 4:1
    07.10.2023 Gavilanes de Matamoros - Alacranes de Durango 0:3
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Alacranes de Durango ✔ 2319010366:1467
    2Cimarrones de Sonora2413160442:1949
    3Tigres de Alica2414130641:2349
    4Leones Negros 22414020839:2646
    5Tecos2413040745:3145
    6Tritones Vallarta2311210929:2640
    7Los Cabos24110301037:3637
    8Mineros de Fresnillo249142833:3736
    9Guerreros de Autlan237052936:3829
    10Ensenada FC2480201429:5028
    11UA Zacatecas2470401326:4526
    12Reboceros de La Piedad2351111533:5720
    13ACF Zapotlanejo2350111637:6618
    14Colima FC2330301720:4513


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca ✔ 2418220246:1863
    2Santiago2312061431:2043
    3Halcones2410061740:2641
    4Zacatepec2410180524:1440
    5Matamoros2310050827:1937
    6Lobos ULMX2410060831:2437
    7Club Calor229071529:2335
    8Correcaminos 2248070925:2333
    9Chilpancingo247080929:3929
    10Cordobes FC2461601125:2726
    11Canamy235081932:4026
    12Zitacuaro234190920:2924
    13Ciervos2431421419:4318
    14Atletico Hidalgo2431411522:5516


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz ✔ 2220020049:867
    2Deportiva Venados2212141453:2446
    3Celaya2211131640:2642
    4Inter Playa Del Carmen2310241631:2839
    5Tapachula22110011045:3438
    6Montaneses229220930:2635
    7Pioneros2291111033:3333
    8Chiapas229023832:3132
    9Heroes de Zaci208021926:3727
    10Chapulineros2241601120:3221
    11Canoneros2142111319:4219
    12Neza FC2250201524:6019
    13Dragones Toluca2240301521:4217

          Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Alacranes de Durango is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Apodaca is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Racing de Veracruz is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )