Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Ciervos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Liga Premier Serie A - Round 9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning

Gavilanes de Matamoros
70.5%

Draw
20%

Ciervos
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

20.4%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

11.4%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gavilanes de Matamoros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ciervos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (-31.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gavilanes de Matamoros that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciervos than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ciervos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gavilanes de Matamoros - Ciervos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.31)	4.54 ↑ (4.5)	9.54 ↑ (9.44)	10.2% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 13).
Gavilanes Matamoros has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ciervos has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Ciervos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Gavilanes Matamoros is the undisputed favorite.
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Gavilanes de Matamoros won against Ciervos?

Gavilanes de Matamoros has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ciervos won against Gavilanes de Matamoros?

Ciervos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gavilanes de Matamoros - Ciervos were as follows:

Latest results of Gavilanes de Matamoros

11.10.2025 Lobos ULMX - Gavilanes de Matamoros 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Gavilanes de Matamoros - Correcaminos UAT 2 2:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Real Apodaca - Gavilanes de Matamoros 3:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Gavilanes de Matamoros - Calor de San Pedro 2:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Avispones de Chilpancingo - Gavilanes de Matamoros 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Ciervos

10.10.2025 Correcaminos UAT 2 - Ciervos 4:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Ciervos - Calor de San Pedro 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Ciervos - Atlético Hidalgo 2:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Cordobés - Ciervos 3:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Ciervos - Halcones 0:2 ✺

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table

2025/26

Group 1

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango ✔	20	16	0	1	0	3	54:14	57
2	Cimarrones de Sonora	21	11	1	6	0	3	36:15	43
3	Tigres de Alica	21	13	0	2	0	6	37:20	43
4	Tecos	20	13	0	2	0	5	44:28	43
5	Leones Negros 2	21	12	0	2	0	7	34:21	40
6	Tritones Vallarta	20	10	2	0	0	8	27:24	36
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	21	8	1	3	2	7	28:33	32
8	Los Cabos	20	9	0	1	0	10	30:31	29
9	Guerreros de Autlan	20	7	0	4	1	8	32:33	27
10	Ensenada FC	21	7	0	2	0	12	22:39	25
11	UA Zacatecas	19	6	0	3	0	10	20:34	22
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	20	5	0	1	1	13	26:44	18
13	ACF Zapotlanejo	20	4	0	1	0	15	29:57	14
14	Colima FC	20	2	0	2	0	16	16:42	9

Group 2

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
1	Apodaca ✔	21	15	2	2	0	2	40:17	54
2	Santiago	20	10	0	5	1	4	26:19	36
3	Zacatepec	21	9	0	7	0	5	19:10	35
4	Halcones	21	8	0	5	1	7	35:25	34
5	Correcaminos 2	21	8	0	6	0	7	20:15	32
6	Club Calor	19	8	0	6	1	4	25:22	31
7	Lobos ULMX	21	8	0	6	0	7	25:19	30
8	Matamoros	20	8	0	5	0	7	22:17	29
9	Cordobes FC	21	6	1	5	0	9	23:22	25
10	Chilpancingo	21	6	0	7	0	8	27:34	25
11	Zitacuaro	21	4	1	8	0	8	18:26	23
12	Canamy	20	4	0	7	1	8	26:34	21
13	Ciervos	21	3	1	3	1	13	16:38	16
14	Atletico Hidalgo	20	3	1	4	1	11	21:45	16

Group 3

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz ✔	19	17	0	2	0	0	39:7	57
2	Celaya	20	11	1	2	1	5	38:23	41
3	Deportiva Venados	19	9	1	4	1	4	45:21	37
4	Inter Playa Del Carmen	20	9	2	3	1	5	29:22	35
5	Chiapas	19	9	0	2	3	5	30:22	32
6	Montaneses	19	8	2	2	0	7	26:20	31
7	Pioneros	19	8	1	1	1	8	27:28	29
8	Tapachula	19	8	0	0	1	10	37:31	28
9	Chapulineros	19	4	1	6	0	8	18:26	21
10	Heroes de Zaci	18	6	0	2	1	9	21:34	21
11	Neza FC	19	5	0	2	0	12	21:50	19
12	Dragones Toluca	20	3	0	3	0	14	17:38	13
13	Canoneros	18	2	2	1	1	12	13:39	12

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Alacranes de Durango is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
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Racing de Veracruz is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )