Leones Negros 2 vs Gavilanes de Matamoros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros
Result
1:4
17/02/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 23

Chances of winning


Leones Negros 2
30.3%
Draw
28.6%
Gavilanes de Matamoros
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 27% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 27.3% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones Negros 2's form might have worsened.
  • Gavilanes de Matamoros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gavilanes de Matamoros's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+17.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones Negros 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gavilanes de Matamoros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (1.94)
    3.18
    (3.38)
    2.21
    (3.5)
    10%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros?
  • Users Predictions: Gavilanes de Matamoros will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 8).
    • Recent matches Leones Negros 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Gavilanes de Matamoros is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Gavilanes de Matamoros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Leones Negros 2 will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones Negros 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leones Negros 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros were as follows:
    16.09.2023 Gavilanes de Matamoros - Leones Negros 2 3:0
    Latest results of Leones Negros 2
    Latest results of Gavilanes de Matamoros
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1IrapuatoPeriban1 : 2, 1 : 1