Leones Negros 2 vs Gavilanes de Matamoros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros
Result
1:4
17/02/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 23

Chances of winning


Leones Negros 2
30.3%
Draw
28.6%
Gavilanes de Matamoros
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 27% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 27.3% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones Negros 2's form might have worsened.
  • Gavilanes de Matamoros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gavilanes de Matamoros's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+17.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones Negros 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gavilanes de Matamoros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (1.94)
    3.18
    (3.38)
    2.21
    (3.5)
    10%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros?
  • Users Predictions: Gavilanes de Matamoros will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 8).
    • Recent matches Leones Negros 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Gavilanes de Matamoros is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Gavilanes de Matamoros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Leones Negros 2 will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones Negros 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leones Negros 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros were as follows:
    16.09.2023 Gavilanes de Matamoros - Leones Negros 2 3:0
    Latest results of Leones Negros 2
    Latest results of Gavilanes de Matamoros
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Los Cabos3300009:310
    2Tritones Vallarta3300005:010
    3Cimarrones de Sonora3300005:19
    4Tigres de Alica3201004:18
    5Alacranes de Durango3200019:37
    6Ensenada FC3200013:17
    7Tecos2100015:63
    8Guerreros de Autlan3100023:73
    9Leones Negros 23002012:32
    10ACF Zapotlanejo2001013:52
    11Mineros de Fresnillo3001022:51
    12UA Zacatecas3001022:51
    13Reboceros de La Piedad3000032:70
    14Colima FC3000031:80


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca3300006:010
    2Santiago3300005:09
    3Calor De San Pedro3300005:29
    4Correcaminos 23102002:15
    5Halcones3101012:15
    6Zitacuaro3101014:75
    7Matamoros3101015:14
    8Zacatepec3100023:24
    9Lobos ULMX3101013:24
    10Chilpancingo3100022:73
    11Cordobes FC3002013:42
    12Canamy3001022:51
    13Atletico Hidalgo3001022:51
    14Ciervos3000030:70


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz3300007:010
    2Celaya3200109:67
    3Heroes de Zaci3200014:26
    4Inter Playa Del Carmen2100103:24
    5Chapulineros3101012:34
    6Deportiva Venados2100013:23
    7Pioneros2100012:33
    8Tapachula2100012:33
    9Dragones Toluca3100024:63
    10Montaneses1010002:22
    11Canoneros3010024:72
    12Neza FC3001021:51
    13Chiapas2000020:20

          Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )