Leones Negros 2 vs Gavilanes de Matamoros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros
Result
1:4
17/02/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 23

Chances of winning


Leones Negros 2
30.3%
Draw
28.6%
Gavilanes de Matamoros
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 27% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 27.3% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones Negros 2's form might have worsened.
  • Gavilanes de Matamoros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gavilanes de Matamoros's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+17.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones Negros 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gavilanes de Matamoros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (1.94)
    3.18
    (3.38)
    2.21
    (3.5)
    10.1%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros?
  • Users Predictions: Gavilanes de Matamoros will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 8).
    • Recent matches Leones Negros 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Gavilanes de Matamoros is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Gavilanes de Matamoros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Leones Negros 2 will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones Negros 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leones Negros 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros were as follows:
    16.09.2023 Gavilanes de Matamoros - Leones Negros 2 3:0
    Latest results of Leones Negros 2
    Latest results of Gavilanes de Matamoros
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Los Cabos76000117:719
    2Alacranes de Durango75000216:817
    3Cimarrones de Sonora75010111:417
    4Tecos75010115:917
    5Tritones Vallarta74100212:815
    6Ensenada FC74010210:514
    7Tigres de Alica7301038:711
    8Leones Negros 27302028:811
    9UA Zacatecas72010411:128
    10Guerreros de Autlan7201048:127
    11Colima FC7200057:127
    12Mineros de Fresnillo7101147:155
    13Reboceros de La Piedad7100068:183
    14ACF Zapotlanejo7001066:192


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca75110015:420
    2Santiago7401119:714
    3Club Calor7402018:614
    4Correcaminos 28304019:413
    5Zacatepec7400038:313
    6Matamoros73010310:610
    7Halcones7202039:79
    8Cordobes FC7203027:59
    9Lobos ULMX7203027:69
    10Canamy7203029:109
    11Chilpancingo7300047:149
    12Zitacuaro7102046:136
    13Ciervos8100165:185
    14Atletico Hidalgo7012048:144


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz66000011:019
    2Heroes de Zaci74011112:714
    3Inter Playa Del Carmen73111110:613
    4Deportiva Venados63110112:612
    5Montaneses63100211:811
    6Tapachula63000310:810
    7Chiapas6300037:69
    8Pioneros6300039:119
    9Neza FC7201049:138
    10Celaya72001413:167
    11Canoneros7110148:156
    12Dragones Toluca7101056:134
    13Chapulineros6101044:134

          Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )