Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats
Result
87:90
03/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 1
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
germanyGermanySportdigital+

Match Stats

Goals
1213
Behinds
1512
Kicks
217197
Handballs
134137
Disposals
351334
Frees For
1421
Frees Against
2114
Clearances Completed
3735
Marks
10878
Tackles
6356
Hitouts
5033

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (29 - 26)
  • 01:15, Neale S. (G),
  • 06:27, Cameron D. (Behind),
  • 07:48, (Behind Rushed),
  • 09:01, Blicavs M. (G),
  • 10:33, Smith B. (G),
  • 13:26, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 15:07, Hill B. (G),
  • 17:40, Membrey T. (Behind),
  • 18:50, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 20:29, Cox M. (G),
  • 22:34, Cameron D. (G),
  • 25:41, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 28:30, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 29:51, (Behind Rushed),
  • 33:34, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (20 - 16)
  • 00:41, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 02:13, Houston D. (G),
  • 05:17, Elliott J. (G),
  • 07:06, (Behind Rushed),
  • 08:39, Daicos N. (Behind),
  • 10:19, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:15, Henry O. (G),
  • 15:03, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 18:28, Wiltshire O. (Behind),
  • 22:22, Daicos N. (G),
  • 23:39, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (21 - 21)
  • 01:51, (Behind Rushed),
  • 05:24, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 07:13, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 08:45, Pendlebury S. (G),
  • 10:56, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 16:22, Stengle T. (Behind),
  • 17:49, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
  • 20:27, Cameron J. (G),
  • 21:53, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:25, Wiltshire O. (G),
  • 25:40, Membrey T. (G),
  • 27:21, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (17 - 27)
  • 01:46, Neale S. (Behind),
  • 05:34, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
  • 07:31, Henry O. (G),
  • 11:06, Sidebottom S. (Behind),
  • 13:40, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 21:00, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 22:50, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 24:11, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 24:50, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:03, Bowes J. (G),
  • 30:45, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 32:04, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 35:31, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 37:33, Crisp J. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Collingwood Magpies
65.3%
Geelong Cats
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 52.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Collingwood Magpies's performance.
  • Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Geelong Cats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collingwood Magpies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geelong Cats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.74)

    2.64
    (2.1)
    7.3%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 172.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
  • What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats?
  • Users Predictions: Collingwood Magpies will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:79.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 2.
    • Collingwood is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Geelong's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Geelong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Collingwood could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Collingwood will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1527:1558. (average 76.4:77.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 832:928. (average 75.6:84.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats were as follows:
    12.07.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats 71:91
    11.08.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats 109:101
    17.03.2023 Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies 103:125
    03.09.2022 Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies 78:72
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2318052278:1635139.3372
    2Geelong Cats2317062425:1714141.4868
    3Collingwood Magpies2316071991:1627122.3764
    4Brisbane Lions2215161972:1725114.3262
    5Hawthorn Hawks2215071966:1602122.7260
    6GWS Giants2215072010:1741115.4560
    7Fremantle Dockers2215071866:1718108.6160
    8Western Bulldogs2214082396:1708140.2856
    9Gold Coast Suns2214082020:1682120.1056
    10Sydney Swans23120111845:190297.0048
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2290131746:197388.4936
    13Port Adelaide Power2390141705:213679.8236
    14Melbourne Demons2370161902:203893.3328
    15Essendon Bombers2260161477:205671.8424
    16North Melbourne2351171805:236576.3222
    17Richmond Tigers2350181449:219765.9520
    18West Coast Eagles2310221466:243860.134

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )