Result
87:90
03/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 Germany | Sportdigital+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 217 | 197 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 134 | 137 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 351 | 334 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 37 | 35 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 108 | 78 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63 | 56 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 50 | 33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (29 - 26)
- 01:15, Neale S. (G),
- 06:27, Cameron D. (Behind),
- 07:48, (Behind Rushed),
- 09:01, Blicavs M. (G),
- 10:33, Smith B. (G),
- 13:26, Elliott J. (Behind),
- 15:07, Hill B. (G),
- 17:40, Membrey T. (Behind),
- 18:50, Dempsey O. (G),
- 20:29, Cox M. (G),
- 22:34, Cameron D. (G),
- 25:41, Mihocek B. (G),
- 28:30, Mihocek B. (Behind),
- 29:51, (Behind Rushed),
- 33:34, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (20 - 16)
- 00:41, Mannagh S. (Behind),
- 02:13, Houston D. (G),
- 05:17, Elliott J. (G),
- 07:06, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:39, Daicos N. (Behind),
- 10:19, (Behind Rushed),
- 13:15, Henry O. (G),
- 15:03, Schultz L. (Behind),
- 18:28, Wiltshire O. (Behind),
- 22:22, Daicos N. (G),
- 23:39, Mannagh S. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (21 - 21)
- 01:51, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:24, Mihocek B. (G),
- 07:13, Mannagh S. (Behind),
- 08:45, Pendlebury S. (G),
- 10:56, Mihocek B. (Behind),
- 16:22, Stengle T. (Behind),
- 17:49, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
- 20:27, Cameron J. (G),
- 21:53, (Behind Rushed),
- 23:25, Wiltshire O. (G),
- 25:40, Membrey T. (G),
- 27:21, Mannagh S. (G),
- 4th Quarter (17 - 27)
- 01:46, Neale S. (Behind),
- 05:34, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
- 07:31, Henry O. (G),
- 11:06, Sidebottom S. (Behind),
- 13:40, Mihocek B. (Behind),
- 21:00, Dempsey O. (G),
- 22:50, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 24:11, Schultz L. (Behind),
- 24:50, (Behind Rushed),
- 27:03, Bowes J. (G),
- 30:45, Schultz L. (Behind),
- 32:04, Mihocek B. (G),
- 35:31, Mihocek B. (G),
- 37:33, Crisp J. (Behind),
Chances of winning
Collingwood Magpies
65.3% | Geelong Cats
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Collingwood Magpies's performance.Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Geelong Cats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-17.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collingwood Magpies that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+17.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geelong Cats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.74) |
|
2.64 ↑
(2.1) |
7.3%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 172.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Collingwood (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 Points, OT - Collingwood (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 Points, OT - Collingwood (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Collingwood Magpies will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Collingwood (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:79.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 2.
- Collingwood is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Geelong's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Geelong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Collingwood could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Collingwood will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1527:1558. (average 76.4:77.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 832:928. (average 75.6:84.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Collingwood Magpies won against Geelong Cats?
Collingwood Magpies has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Geelong Cats won against Collingwood Magpies?
Geelong Cats has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats were as follows:
12.07.2024
Collingwood Magpies
-
Geelong Cats
71:91
11.08.2023
Collingwood Magpies
-
Geelong Cats
109:101
17.03.2023
Geelong Cats
-
Collingwood Magpies
103:125
03.09.2022
Geelong Cats
-
Collingwood Magpies
78:72
Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
Latest results of Geelong Cats
AFL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Sydney Swans | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 581:331 | 175.53 | 16 |
| 2 | Fremantle Dockers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 444:338 | 131.36 | 16 |
| 3 | Hawthorn Hawks | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 535:442 | 121.04 | 16 |
| 4 | Western Bulldogs | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 502:416 | 120.67 | 16 |
| 5 | Gold Coast Suns | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 541:410 | 131.95 | 12 |
| 6 | Brisbane Lions | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 490:426 | 115.02 | 12 |
| 7 | North Melbourne | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 450:425 | 105.88 | 12 |
| 8 | Geelong Cats | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 460:453 | 101.55 | 12 |
| 9 | Melbourne Demons | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 467:504 | 92.66 | 12 |
| 10 | Port Adelaide Power | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 447:404 | 110.64 | 8 |
| 11 | Adelaide Crows | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 431:405 | 106.42 | 8 |
| 12 | GWS Giants | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 434:469 | 92.54 | 8 |
| 13 | Collingwood Magpies | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 348:377 | 92.31 | 8 |
| 14 | St Kilda Saints | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 412:452 | 91.15 | 8 |
| 15 | West Coast Eagles | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 386:600 | 64.33 | 8 |
| 16 | Carlton Blues | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 393:513 | 76.61 | 4 |
| 17 | Essendon Bombers | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 400:526 | 76.05 | 4 |
| 18 | Richmond Tigers | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 297:527 | 56.36 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
