Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
35:42
25/09/2025 at 05:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL Women - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy, Fox Sports 505
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 3

Match Stats

Goals
56
Behinds
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (13 - 8)
  • 2nd Quarter (13 - 8)
  • 3rd Quarter (6 - 12)
  • 4th Quarter (3 - 14)

Chances of winning


Geelong Cats
63.3%
Hawthorn Hawks
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.52)

    2.53
    (2.43)
    7.6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 70.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    Preview Facts
    • Geelong has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hawthorn is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Geelong has had a series of away games.
    • Geelong could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 121:99. (average 60.5:49.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 121:99. (average 60.5:49.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
    26.09.2024 Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks 61:79
    04.11.2023 Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks 60:20
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1North Melbourne W (1)Hawthorn Hawks W (4)42 : 3
    4Adelaide Crows W (6)St Kilda W (7)60 : 16
    5Melbourne Demons W (2)Brisbane Lions W (3)43 : 56
    8Carlton Blues W (5)West Coast Eagles W (8)60 : 19

    Quarter-finals
    1North Melbourne W (1)Bye
    2Melbourne Demons W (2)Adelaide Crows W (6)60 : 49
    3Brisbane Lions W (3)Bye
    4Hawthorn Hawks W (4)Carlton Blues W (5)33 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1North Melbourne W (1)Melbourne Demons W (2)46 : 36
    2Brisbane Lions W (3)Carlton Blues W (5)67 : 32

    Final
    1North Melbourne W (1)Brisbane Lions W (3)56 : 16