Result
127:113
22/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 248 | 191 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 108 | 155 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 356 | 346 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 42 | 51 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 107 | 75 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78 | 77 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (31 - 34)
- 01:41, Cameron J. (G),
- 04:41, Richards E. (G),
- 06:12, Naughton A. (Behind),
- 08:47, Blicavs M. (G),
- 10:40, Johannisen J. (Behind),
- 15:48, Mannagh S. (G),
- 17:29, West R. (G),
- 19:45, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:53, Stengle T. (G),
- 23:15, Harmes J. (Behind),
- 25:12, Davidson S. (G),
- 26:32, Neale S. (G),
- 29:16, Vandermeer L. (G),
- 31:21, (Behind Rushed),
- 32:32, Naughton A. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (39 - 11)
- 01:40, Cameron J. (G),
- 03:04, Mannagh S. (Behind),
- 04:05, Cameron J. (G),
- 07:45, Henry O. (G),
- 09:37, Cleary L. (Behind),
- 10:54, Cameron J. (G),
- 13:16, (Behind Rushed),
- 14:34, Mullin O. (Behind),
- 17:16, Freijah J. (Behind),
- 19:28, Dempsey O. (Behind),
- 23:13, Atkins T. (G),
- 29:21, Neale S. (G),
- 31:40, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
- 32:23, West R. (Behind),
- 33:06, Naughton A. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (31 - 46)
- 01:01, Khamis B. (G),
- 05:01, Mannagh S. (G),
- 06:23, Liberatore T. (Behind),
- 07:41, English T. (G),
- 09:37, Cameron J. (G),
- 12:40, Khamis B. (G),
- 16:03, Neale S. (G),
- 17:54, Holmes M. (G),
- 23:19, Kennedy M. (G),
- 25:15, Khamis B. (Behind),
- 28:13, Dempsey O. (Behind),
- 28:50, Kennedy M. (G),
- 30:09, Vandermeer L. (Behind),
- 30:51, Liberatore T. (Behind),
- 33:21, Cameron J. (G),
- 34:43, Freijah J. (G),
- 36:02, Vandermeer L. (G),
- 4th Quarter (26 - 22)
- 01:16, Richards E. (G),
- 03:55, McNeil L. (Behind),
- 09:26, Johannisen J. (Behind),
- 11:13, Dempsey O. (G),
- 13:52, McNeil L. (Behind),
- 18:29, Naughton A. (G),
- 19:42, Harmes J. (Behind),
- 21:48, Neale S. (G),
- 26:17, Neale S. (G),
- 29:50, (Behind Rushed),
- 30:44, Dempsey O. (Behind),
- 31:37, Stengle T. (G),
- 32:58, Kennedy M. (G),
Chances of winning
Geelong Cats
52.4% | Western Bulldogs
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Geelong Cats's form might have worsened.Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Bulldogs's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.62) |
|
1.94 ↓
(2.3) |
7.7%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 176.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 3.
- Recent performances by Geelong have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Western is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1602:1384. (average 84.3:72.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 892:784. (average 89.2:78.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Geelong Cats won against Western Bulldogs?
Geelong Cats has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Western Bulldogs won against Geelong Cats?
Western Bulldogs has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs were as follows:
20.07.2024
Geelong Cats
-
Western Bulldogs
48:95
06.04.2024
Western Bulldogs
-
Geelong Cats
91:95
26.08.2023
Geelong Cats
-
Western Bulldogs
79:104
03.06.2023
Western Bulldogs
-
Geelong Cats
75:97
Latest results of Geelong Cats
Latest results of Western Bulldogs
AFL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Adelaide Crows | 23 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 2278:1635 | 139.33 | 72 |
| 2 | Geelong Cats | 23 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 2425:1714 | 141.48 | 68 |
| 3 | Collingwood Magpies | 23 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 1991:1627 | 122.37 | 64 |
| 4 | Brisbane Lions | 22 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 1972:1725 | 114.32 | 62 |
| 5 | Hawthorn Hawks | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 1966:1602 | 122.72 | 60 |
| 6 | GWS Giants | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 2010:1741 | 115.45 | 60 |
| 7 | Fremantle Dockers | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 1866:1718 | 108.61 | 60 |
| 8 | Western Bulldogs | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 2396:1708 | 140.28 | 56 |
| 9 | Gold Coast Suns | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 2020:1682 | 120.10 | 56 |
| 10 | Sydney Swans | 23 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 1845:1902 | 97.00 | 48 |
| 11 | Carlton Blues | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 1799:1861 | 96.67 | 36 |
| 12 | St Kilda Saints | 22 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 1746:1973 | 88.49 | 36 |
| 13 | Port Adelaide Power | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 1705:2136 | 79.82 | 36 |
| 14 | Melbourne Demons | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 1902:2038 | 93.33 | 28 |
| 15 | Essendon Bombers | 22 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 1477:2056 | 71.84 | 24 |
| 16 | North Melbourne | 23 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 1805:2365 | 76.32 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Tigers | 23 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 1449:2197 | 65.95 | 20 |
| 18 | West Coast Eagles | 23 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 1466:2438 | 60.13 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )
