Result
 
                    127:113
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        22/05/2025 at  05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  AFL - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 | 
|  Australia | AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network | 
|  New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 | 
|  United-kingdom | TNT Sports 2 | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Goals | 
|---|
| 20 | 16 | 
| Behinds | 
|---|
| 7 | 17 | 
| Kicks | 
|---|
| 248 | 191 | 
| Handballs | 
|---|
| 108 | 155 | 
| Disposals | 
|---|
| 356 | 346 | 
| Frees For | 
|---|
| 26 | 12 | 
| Frees Against | 
|---|
| 12 | 26 | 
| Clearances Completed | 
|---|
| 42 | 51 | 
| Marks | 
|---|
| 107 | 75 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 78 | 77 | 
| Hitouts | 
|---|
| 50 | 53 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Quarter (31 - 34)
- 01:41, Cameron J. (G), 
- 04:41, Richards E. (G), 
- 06:12, Naughton A. (Behind), 
- 08:47, Blicavs M. (G), 
- 10:40, Johannisen J. (Behind), 
- 15:48, Mannagh S. (G), 
- 17:29, West R. (G), 
- 19:45,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 21:53, Stengle T. (G), 
- 23:15, Harmes J. (Behind), 
- 25:12, Davidson S. (G), 
- 26:32, Neale S. (G), 
- 29:16, Vandermeer L. (G), 
- 31:21,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 32:32, Naughton A. (G), 
- 2nd Quarter (39 - 11)
- 01:40, Cameron J. (G), 
- 03:04, Mannagh S. (Behind), 
- 04:05, Cameron J. (G), 
- 07:45, Henry O. (G), 
- 09:37, Cleary L. (Behind), 
- 10:54, Cameron J. (G), 
- 13:16,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 14:34, Mullin O. (Behind), 
- 17:16, Freijah J. (Behind), 
- 19:28, Dempsey O. (Behind), 
- 23:13, Atkins T. (G), 
- 29:21, Neale S. (G), 
- 31:40, Bontempelli M. (Behind), 
- 32:23, West R. (Behind), 
- 33:06, Naughton A. (G), 
- 3rd Quarter (31 - 46)
- 01:01, Khamis B. (G), 
- 05:01, Mannagh S. (G), 
- 06:23, Liberatore T. (Behind), 
- 07:41, English T. (G), 
- 09:37, Cameron J. (G), 
- 12:40, Khamis B. (G), 
- 16:03, Neale S. (G), 
- 17:54, Holmes M. (G), 
- 23:19, Kennedy M. (G), 
- 25:15, Khamis B. (Behind), 
- 28:13, Dempsey O. (Behind), 
- 28:50, Kennedy M. (G), 
- 30:09, Vandermeer L. (Behind), 
- 30:51, Liberatore T. (Behind), 
- 33:21, Cameron J. (G), 
- 34:43, Freijah J. (G), 
- 36:02, Vandermeer L. (G), 
- 4th Quarter (26 - 22)
- 01:16, Richards E. (G), 
- 03:55, McNeil L. (Behind), 
- 09:26, Johannisen J. (Behind), 
- 11:13, Dempsey O. (G), 
- 13:52, McNeil L. (Behind), 
- 18:29, Naughton A. (G), 
- 19:42, Harmes J. (Behind), 
- 21:48, Neale S. (G), 
- 26:17, Neale S. (G), 
- 29:50,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 30:44, Dempsey O. (Behind), 
- 31:37, Stengle T. (G), 
- 32:58, Kennedy M. (G), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Geelong Cats 52.4%
 | Western Bulldogs 47.6%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.78 ↑ (1.62)
 | 
 | 1.94 ↓ (2.3)
 | 7.7% (5.2%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 176.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 3.
- Recent performances by Geelong have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Western is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1602:1384. (average 84.3:72.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 892:784. (average 89.2:78.4).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Geelong Cats won against Western Bulldogs?
                    
                    
                        
                            Geelong Cats has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Western Bulldogs won against Geelong Cats?
                    
                    
                        
                             Western Bulldogs has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs were as follows:
                                                        
                                20.07.2024 
                                Geelong Cats 
                                - 
                                Western Bulldogs 
                                48:95
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.04.2024 
                                Western Bulldogs 
                                - 
                                Geelong Cats 
                                91:95
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.08.2023 
                                Geelong Cats 
                                - 
                                Western Bulldogs 
                                79:104
                            
        
                                                        
                                03.06.2023 
                                Western Bulldogs 
                                - 
                                Geelong Cats 
                                75:97
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Geelong Cats                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Western Bulldogs