Result
99:93 OT
21/11/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field Goals Attempted |
|---|
| 70 | 78 |
| Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 38 | 34 |
| Field Goals % |
|---|
| 54.29% | 43.59% |
| 2-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 48 | 53 |
| 2-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| 2-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 64.58% | 45.28% |
| 3-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| 3-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| 3-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 31.82% | 40% |
| Free Throws Attempted |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Free Throws Made |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Free Throws % |
|---|
| 80% | 75% |
| Offensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Defensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Total Rebounds |
|---|
| 42 | 36 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Personal Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
Chances of winning
Adelaide Lightning 33.7% | Geelong Venom 66.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Adelaide Lightning - Geelong Venom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.74 ↑ (2.56) |
|
1.4 (1.4) |
8.2% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 153.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Geelong Venom may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Geelong Venom has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Geelong Venom is the team to beat.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 288:321. (average 72:80.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Adelaide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 87:70.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Lightning won against Geelong Venom?
Adelaide Lightning has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Geelong Venom won against Adelaide Lightning?
Geelong Venom has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Lightning - Geelong Venom were as follows:
25.10.2025
Geelong Venom
-
Adelaide Lightning
110:76
15.02.2025
Adelaide Lightning
-
Geelong Venom
87:70
07.12.2024
Geelong Venom
-
Adelaide Lightning
69:59
16.11.2024
Geelong Venom
-
Adelaide Lightning
72:66
Latest results of Adelaide Lightning
Latest results of Geelong Venom
Australian WNBL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Perth Lynx W | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1488:1345 | 0.778 |
| 2 | Townsville W | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1553:1302 | 0.778 |
| 3 | Bendigo W | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1295:1173 | 0.765 |
| 4 | Canberra Capitals W | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1159:1257 | 0.438 |
| 5 | Southside W | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1268:1250 | 0.438 |
| 6 | Sydney W | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1449:1599 | 0.316 |
| 7 | Adelaide Lightning W | 18 | 5 | 13 | 1351:1501 | 0.278 |
| 8 | Geelong Venom W | 18 | 4 | 14 | 1340:1476 | 0.222 |
Promotion ~ WNBL Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)