Adelaide Lightning vs Geelong United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian WNBL Adelaide Lightning - Geelong United
Result
87:70
15/02/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: WNBL Women - Round 15

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6771
Field Goals Made
3429
Field Goals %
50.7%40.8%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4546
2-Point Field Goals Made
2520
2-Point Field Goals %
55.6%43.5%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2225
3-Point Field Goals Made
99
3-Point Field Goals %
40.9%36%
Free Throws Attempted
136
Free Throws Made
103
Free Throws %
76.9%50%
Offensive Rebounds
712
Defensive Rebounds
3228
Total Rebounds
3940
Assists
2615
Blocks
34
Turnovers
1519
Steals
87
Personal Fouls
817

Chances of winning


Adelaide Lightning
68.2%
Geelong United
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide Lightning's performance.
  • Geelong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Geelong United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Lightning than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Lightning that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong United than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geelong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Adelaide Lightning - Geelong United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.73)

    2.91
    (1.95)
    8.2%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 149.25
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • Preview Facts
    • Adelaide is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Geelong United has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Geelong United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Adelaide will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Adelaide won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 125:141 (average 62.5:70.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Lightning - Geelong United were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Geelong United - Adelaide Lightning 69:59
    16.11.2024 Geelong United - Adelaide Lightning 72:66
    Latest results of Adelaide Lightning
    Latest results of Geelong United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bendigo W (1)Sydney W (4)2 : 0
    2Perth Lynx W (2)Townsville W (3)0 : 2

    Final
    1Bendigo W (1)Townsville W (3)2 : 0