Canberra Capitals vs Geelong Venom – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
76:67
06/02/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WNBL Women - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9Now, ESPN

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6158
Field goals made
3125
Field goals %
50.82%43.1%
2-point field goals attempts
3637
2-point field goals made
2619
2-point field goals %
72.22%51.35%
3-point field goals attempts
2521
3-point field goals made
56
3-point field goals %
20%28.57%
Free throws attempts
1212
Free throws made
911
Free throws %
75%91.7%
Offensive rebounds
58
Defensive rebounds
2529
Total rebounds
3037
Assists
2419
Blocks
52
Turnovers
1119
Steals
95
Personal fouls
1711

Chances of winning


Canberra Capitals
50.5%
Geelong Venom
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canberra Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Geelong Venom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Capitals than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canberra Capitals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Venom than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Geelong Venom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Canberra Capitals - Geelong Venom Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.73)

    1.88
    (1.89)
    7.4%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 151.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Canberra has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Geelong Venom has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Canberra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Geelong Venom has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 406:354. (average 81.2:70.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 166:142. (average 83:71).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra Capitals - Geelong Venom were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Canberra Capitals - Geelong Venom 77:73
    06.12.2025 Geelong Venom - Canberra Capitals 75:76
    01.02.2025 Geelong Venom - Canberra Capitals 77:91
    04.01.2025 Canberra Capitals - Geelong Venom 89:69
    23.11.2024 Geelong Venom - Canberra Capitals 60:73
    Latest results of Canberra Capitals
    Latest results of Geelong Venom
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Townsville W (1)Southside W (4)2 : 1
    2Perth Lynx W (2)Bendigo W (3)2 : 0

    Final
    1Townsville W (1)Perth Lynx W (2)