Gefle vs Karlstad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Norra - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
swedenSwedenEttan Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
57
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
57
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
13
Corner Kicks
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Mokede M. ,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Bellman H. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Nezirevic A. 🟨,
  • 66', Jatta N. , Faulds O. ,
  • 66', Bengtsson J. , Bjork N. ,
  • 72', Jacinto C. 🟨,
  • 73', Beko S. , Nilsson King E. ,
  • 78', Lenerius L. , Simba P. ,
  • 84', Bellman H. , Carstrom J. ,
  • 87', Andersson H. , Zahirovic A. ,
  • 90', Mokede M. , Shino Y. ,
  • 90+2', Persson K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gefle
31.3%
Draw
26.6%
Karlstad
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 24.9% 49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2% 23.6% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gefle's performance.
  • Karlstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karlstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Gefle - Karlstad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (3.55)
    3.5
    (3.68)
    2.21
    (1.86)
    7.5%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gefle won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Karlstad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Karlstad could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gefle won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gefle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gefle - Karlstad were as follows:
    25.09.2022 Gefle - Karlstad 3:1
    Latest results of Gefle
    13.09.2025 AFC Eskilstuna - Gefle 2:0
    06.09.2025 Gefle - Haninge 2:0
    30.08.2025 Gefle - Sollentuna 5:1
    24.08.2025 Arlanda - Gefle 2:0
    16.08.2025 Gefle - Enköping 5:1
    Latest results of Karlstad
    13.09.2025 Karlstad - Karlberg 1:0
    31.08.2025 AFC Eskilstuna - Karlstad 4:3
    24.08.2025 Karlstad - Vasalund 2:3
    19.08.2025 Karlstad - Umeå 2:1
    Swedish Division 1 Norra Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Enkoping SK22006:336
    2Umea FC11002:113
    3Karlstad11002:113
    4FBK Karlstad11002:113
    5Arlanda11002:113
    6Stockholm Internazionale11002:113
    7Karlbergs21012:3-13
    8AFC Eskilstuna10101:101
    9Jarfalla10101:101
    10Stocksund10012:3-10
    11Assyriska FF10011:2-10
    12Vasalund10011:2-10
    13Gefle10011:2-10
    14Pitea10011:2-10
    15Hammarby TFF10011:2-10
    16Sollentuna10010:1-10

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