Gefle vs Karlstad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Division 1 Norra Gefle - Karlstad
21/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Gefle
31.2%
Draw
25.8%
Karlstad
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 24.9% 49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2% 23.6% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gefle's performance.
  • Karlstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karlstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Gefle - Karlstad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (3.55)
    3.58
    (3.68)
    2.15
    (1.86)
    8.3%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gefle won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Karlstad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Karlstad could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gefle won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gefle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gefle - Karlstad were as follows:
    25.09.2022 Gefle - Karlstad 3:1
    Latest results of Gefle
    13.09.2025 AFC Eskilstuna - Gefle 2:0
    06.09.2025 Gefle - Haninge 2:0
    30.08.2025 Gefle - Sollentuna 5:1
    24.08.2025 Arlanda - Gefle 2:0
    16.08.2025 Gefle - Enköping 5:1
    Latest results of Karlstad
    13.09.2025 Karlstad - Karlberg 1:0
    31.08.2025 AFC Eskilstuna - Karlstad 4:3
    24.08.2025 Karlstad - Vasalund 2:3
    19.08.2025 Karlstad - Umeå 2:1
    Swedish Division 1 Norra Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nordic United23144542:241846
    2Vasalund23143656:282845
    3Hammarby TFF22136341:212045
    4Stockholm Internazionale22126439:192042
    5Karlstad22114744:311337
    6Karlbergs2395937:34332
    7Assyriska FF2295829:27232
    8AFC Eskilstuna2395938:48-1032
    9Sollentuna2294937:46-931
    10Arlanda2286829:29030
    11Haninge23841147:46128
    12Enkopings SK23841139:43-428
    13Stocksund23901436:55-1927
    14Gefle22661027:32-524
    15Orebro Syr23521622:52-3017
    16Team TG22321720:48-2811

          Promotion ~ Superettan
          Promotion ~ Superettan (Promotion: )
          Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation