Gela vs Sancataldese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
01/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group I - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 69', 1 - 0, Petta A. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Petta A. ,

Chances of winning


Gela
48.8%
Draw
26.2%
Sancataldese
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 26.6% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 23.4% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Sancataldese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gela than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gela that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sancataldese than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Gela - Sancataldese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.87)
    3.47
    (3.35)
    3.65
    (3.45)
    9.9%
    (12.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
    • Gela has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sancataldese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Gela could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gela won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gela won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    Latest results of Gela
    25.01.2026 Vigor Lamezia - Gela 2:0
    18.01.2026 Gela - ACR Messina 1:0
    11.01.2026 Ragusa - Gela 2:3
    04.01.2026 Gela - Savoia 1:2
    21.12.2025 Gela - Gelbison Cilento 0:2
    Latest results of Sancataldese
    Italian Serie D - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Savoia33199560:293166
    2Nissa331810547:262164
    3Reggina33196840:211963
    4Athletic Palermo ✔ 331761057:461157
    5Gelbison ✔ 33169843:321157
    6Igea Virtus331513548:321653
    7Sambiase331411836:261053
    8Milazzo331281331:35-444
    9Gela331351541:43-243
    10Vigor Lamezia331091439:34539
    11Castrumfavara331071636:45-937
    12Enna338111448:51-335
    13USD Ragusa337131322:32-1034
    14AS Acireale337121437:49-1232
    15Vibonese337111531:47-1632
    16ACR Messina3310131027:33-629
    17Sancataldese33781831:46-1529
    18Paterno ✔ 33472221:68-4719

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Athletic Palermo is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
    Gelbison is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
    Paterno is Relegated to