Result
2:2
04/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 8
- Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (329/393) | 79% (263/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (329/393) | 79% (263/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 51% (26/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (54/84) | 63% (57/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 3.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.02 | 1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Hagi I. ⚽,
- 16', Akdag U. 🟨,
- 22', Niang M. 🟨,
- 27', Thalisson Kelven 🟨,
- 45+3', Lima N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Onyekuru H. ↓, Mimaroglu M. ↑,
- 60', Hagi I. 🟨,
- 61', Mounie S. ↓, Hwang Ui-Jo ↑,
- 61', Dursun A. ↓, Hanousek M. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Zuzek Z. ⚽, Niang M. (A),
- 69', 1 - 2, Hwang Ui-Jo ⚽, Hagi I. (A),
- 76', 2 - 2, Niang M. (Pen),
- 77', Ruan ↓, Keskin E. ↑,
- 77', Hagi I. ↓, Elia M. ↑,
- 81', Dele-Bashiru T. ↓, Osmanoglu S. ↑,
- 81', Gurpuz G. ↓, Csoboth K. ↑,
- 82', Kaya I. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
- 83', Makouta G. ↓, Janvier N. ↑,
- 88', Zuzek Z. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gençlerbirliği
29.1% | Draw
28.1% | Alanyaspor
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gençlerbirliği's form might have worsened.Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alanyaspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gençlerbirliği, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alanyaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gençlerbirliği - Alanyaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(2.62) |
3.35 ↓
(3.37) |
2.22 ↓
(2.7) |
5.6%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - Alanyaspor?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Alanyaspor will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alanyaspor: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 3.
- Gençlerbirliği is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alanyaspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gençlerbirliği may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P.
(Muscle Injury)
Kemaloglu E.
(Knee Injury)
Koita S.
(Red Card)
Sahindere A.
(Knee Injury)
Tongya F.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bulut B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Kyabou M.
(Inactive)
Uzum F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gençlerbirliği won against Alanyaspor?
Gençlerbirliği has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against Gençlerbirliği?
Alanyaspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gençlerbirliği - Alanyaspor were as follows:
Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
Latest results of Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20:3 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Goztepe | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Gaziantep | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Besiktas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Konyaspor | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Basaksehir | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
