Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 19
- Referee: Coskunses R. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (207/286) | 75% (243/323) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (207/286) | 75% (243/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (13/46) | 29% (19/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (50/85) | 56% (40/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Niang M. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Koita S. ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 1, Saric D. ⚽, Karakoc S. (A),
- 45', Pereira P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Storm N. ↓, Ballet S. ↑,
- 57', Dikmen S. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 1, van de Streek S. ⚽, Karakoc S. (A),
- 64', Karakoc S. ↓, Sinik D. ↑,
- 65', Balci B. ↓, Giannetti L. ↑,
- 76', Zuzek Z. ↓, Dursun A. ↑,
- 76', Tongya F. ↓, Varesanovic D. ↑,
- 76', Saric D. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
- 78', van de Streek S. 🟨,
- 81', Dursun A. 🟨,
- 87', Dele-Bashiru T. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
- 87', Mimaroglu M. ↓, Demir D. ↑,
- 90+3', van de Streek S. ↓, Ozturk B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Antalyaspor
33.7% | Draw
29.7% | Gençlerbirliği
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Antalyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Antalyaspor - Gençlerbirliği Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↑
(2.71) |
3.16 ↓
(3.26) |
2.59 ↓
(2.61) |
6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Antalyaspor - Gençlerbirliği?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Antalyaspor will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Antalyaspor: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Antalyaspor (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 3.
- Antalyaspor is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gençlerbirliği is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Antalyaspor: Yesilyurt E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Akkan G.
(Injury)
Etebo P.
(Muscle Injury)
Kyabou M.
(Knee Injury)
Sahindere A.
(Knee Injury)
Unal E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Antalyaspor: Omur A.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Antalyaspor won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.3:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Antalyaspor won against Gençlerbirliği?
Antalyaspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gençlerbirliği won against Antalyaspor?
Gençlerbirliği has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Antalyaspor - Gençlerbirliği were as follows:
14.01.2026
Antalyaspor
-
Gençlerbirliği
0:1
17.08.2025
Gençlerbirliği
-
Antalyaspor
0:1
Latest results of Antalyaspor
Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 62:18 | 44 | 64 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 27 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 61:28 | 33 | 60 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 53:29 | 24 | 60 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 49:31 | 18 | 52 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 44:30 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:46 | -10 | 33 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 31 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 12 | Konyaspor | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
| 15 | Kasimpasa | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 24 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21:48 | -27 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19:38 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24:47 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
