Result
2:2
14/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 22
- Referee: Guldibi O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (164/228) | 79% (285/360) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.23 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 22 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (164/228) | 79% (285/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (24/56) | 47% (21/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (47/80) | 74% (86/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 72% (18/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.24 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Sowe A. (Own goal),
- 19', Diyadin M. 🟨,
- 25', Papanikolaou G. 🟨,
- 39', Ulgun O. ↓, Gurpuz G. ↑,
- 45', 2 - 0, Koita S. ⚽, Tongya F. (A),
- 45+3', Akaydin S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Antalyali T. ↓, Mebude A. ↑,
- 46', Sowe A. ↓, Dervisoglu H. ↑,
- 48', Tongya F. 🟨,
- 54', Koita S. 🟨,
- 59', Koita S. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
- 62', Pala M. 🟨,
- 65', Papanikolaou G. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
- 75', Hojer C. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Pala M. ⚽, Mebude A. (A),
- 79', Olawoyin I. ↓, Buljubasic M. ↑,
- 82', Traore A. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
- 82', Mimaroglu M. ↓, Dursun A. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, Pala M. ⚽, Mihaila V. (A),
- 90+4', Dervisoglu H. 🟨,
- 90+4', Thalisson Kelven 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gençlerbirliği 38.4% | Draw 29.9% | Çaykur Rizespor 31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Çaykur Rizespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Çaykur Rizespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Çaykur Rizespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gençlerbirliği - Çaykur Rizespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.45 ↓ (2.68) |
3.14 ↓ (3.41) |
3 ↑ (2.53) |
6% (6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - Çaykur Rizespor?
Users Predictions:
Gençlerbirliği will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 2.
- In recent matches, Gençlerbirliği has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rizespor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Gençlerbirliği won against Çaykur Rizespor?
Gençlerbirliği has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Çaykur Rizespor won against Gençlerbirliği?
Çaykur Rizespor has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gençlerbirliği - Çaykur Rizespor were as follows:
08.01.2026
Çaykur Rizespor
-
Gençlerbirliği
1:2
15.09.2025
Çaykur Rizespor
-
Gençlerbirliği
1:0
23.04.2023
Çaykur Rizespor
-
Gençlerbirliği
5:3
26.11.2022
Gençlerbirliği
-
Çaykur Rizespor
1:3
Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
Latest results of Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 55:17 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 23 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 52:21 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45:27 | 18 | 48 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 44:29 | 15 | 43 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 36 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 31 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 28 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 28:35 | -7 | 24 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 23 |
| 13 | Konyaspor | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 21 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 23 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 19 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 20:42 | -22 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig