Gençlerbirliği vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor
Result
2:1
10/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 33
  • Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.94
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
82% (323/394)82% (327/401)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.40
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3019
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
82% (323/394)82% (327/401)
Long passes
41% (15/37)37% (16/43)
Passes in final third
71% (91/128)69% (61/88)
Crosses
39% (9/23)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.84
Fouls
1010
Tackles
53% (8/15)53% (10/19)
Duels won
5353
Clearances Total
1827
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.400.77
Goals prevented
0.40-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+1', Nalepa M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Onur S. , Etebo P. ,
  • 50', Benny (Pen),
  • 54', Leo Gaucho , Popa D. ,
  • 54', Nalepa M. , Cagiran B. ,
  • 57', Babacan A. 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Soukou C. , Babacan A. (A),
  • 64', Kabak A. , Okyar M. ,
  • 66', Yildirim P. , Celik B. ,
  • 73', Joao L. 🟥,
  • 77', Babacan A. , Uzum F. ,
  • 82', Babacan A. , Djokanovic A. ,
  • 82', Yildirim O. , Eser M. ,
  • 88', Soukou C. , Ekincier B. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Osmanoglu S. ,
  • 90+1', Oksuz B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Popa D. , Uzum F. (A),
  • 90+7', Mimaroglu M. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Cavare D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gençlerbirliği
54.5%
Draw
25.2%
Umraniyespor
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 25.9% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 25.8% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.82)
    3.66
    (3.57)
    4.61
    (3.94)
    7.4%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Gençlerbirliği will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 1.
    • Recent matches Gençlerbirliği is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Umraniyespor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Gençlerbirliği is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Umraniyespor: Djokanovic A. (Injury) Kocaturk Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Gureler Y. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.9:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Umraniyespor - Gençlerbirliği 3:3
    14.01.2024 Umraniyespor - Gençlerbirliği 1:1
    13.08.2023 Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor 2:1
    Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Adana Demirspor00000:000
    2Istanbulspor AS00000:000
    3Sakaryaspor00000:000
    4Amedspor00000:000
    5Hatayspor00000:000
    6Pendikspor00000:000
    7Sariyer00000:000
    8Sivasspor00000:000
    9Boluspor00000:000
    10Vanspor FK00000:000
    11Bandirmaspor00000:000
    12Keciorengucu00000:000
    13Umraniyespor00000:000
    14Erzurumspor00000:000
    15Corum00000:000
    16Bodrumspor00000:000
    17Manisa FK00000:000
    18Erokspor00000:000
    19Serik Spor00000:000
    20Igdir FK00000:000

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation