Result
2:1
10/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 33
- Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/394) | 82% (327/401) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/394) | 82% (327/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (15/37) | 37% (16/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (91/128) | 69% (61/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.84 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Nalepa M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Onur S. ↓, Etebo P. ↑,
- 50', Benny (Pen),
- 54', Leo Gaucho ↓, Popa D. ↑,
- 54', Nalepa M. ↓, Cagiran B. ↑,
- 57', Babacan A. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 1, Soukou C. ⚽, Babacan A. (A),
- 64', Kabak A. ↓, Okyar M. ↑,
- 66', Yildirim P. ↓, Celik B. ↑,
- 73', Joao L. 🟥,
- 77', Babacan A. ↓, Uzum F. ↑,
- 82', Babacan A. ↓, Djokanovic A. ↑,
- 82', Yildirim O. ↓, Eser M. ↑,
- 88', Soukou C. ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Osmanoglu S. ⚽,
- 90+1', Oksuz B. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Popa D. ⚽, Uzum F. (A),
- 90+7', Mimaroglu M. 🟨,
- 90+9', Cavare D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gençlerbirliği 54.5% | Draw 25.2% | Umraniyespor 20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (1.82) |
3.66 ↑ (3.57) |
4.61 ↑ (3.94) |
7.4% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Gençlerbirliği will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 1.
- Recent matches Gençlerbirliği is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Umraniyespor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Gençlerbirliği is a favorite.
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Djokanovic A.
(Injury)
Kocaturk Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Gureler Y.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.9:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gençlerbirliği won against Umraniyespor?
Gençlerbirliği has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Gençlerbirliği?
Umraniyespor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor were as follows:
01.12.2024
Umraniyespor
-
Gençlerbirliği
3:3
14.01.2024
Umraniyespor
-
Gençlerbirliği
1:1
13.08.2023
Gençlerbirliği
-
Umraniyespor
2:1
Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pendikspor | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | Bodrumspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 | Corum | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Erokspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 20 |
| 5 | Amedspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Vanspor FK | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Bandirmaspor | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Sakaryaspor | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Sariyer | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6:44 | -38 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation