Gençlerbirliği vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 33
  • Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.94
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
82% (323/394)82% (327/401)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.40
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3019
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
82% (323/394)82% (327/401)
Long passes
41% (15/37)37% (16/43)
Passes in final third
71% (91/128)69% (61/88)
Crosses
39% (9/23)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.84
Fouls
1010
Tackles
53% (8/15)53% (10/19)
Duels won
5353
Clearances Total
1827
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.400.77
Goals prevented
0.40-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+1', Nalepa M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Onur S. , Etebo P. ,
  • 50', Benny (Pen),
  • 54', Leo Gaucho , Popa D. ,
  • 54', Nalepa M. , Cagiran B. ,
  • 57', Babacan A. 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Soukou C. , Babacan A. (A),
  • 64', Kabak A. , Okyar M. ,
  • 66', Yildirim P. , Celik B. ,
  • 73', Joao L. 🟥,
  • 77', Babacan A. , Uzum F. ,
  • 82', Babacan A. , Djokanovic A. ,
  • 82', Yildirim O. , Eser M. ,
  • 88', Soukou C. , Ekincier B. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Osmanoglu S. ,
  • 90+1', Oksuz B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Popa D. , Uzum F. (A),
  • 90+7', Mimaroglu M. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Cavare D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gençlerbirliği
54.5%
Draw
25.2%
Umraniyespor
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 25.9% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 25.8% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.82)
    3.66
    (3.57)
    4.61
    (3.94)
    7.4%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Gençlerbirliği will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gençlerbirliği will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 1.
    • Recent matches Gençlerbirliği is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Umraniyespor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Gençlerbirliği is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Umraniyespor: Djokanovic A. (Injury) Kocaturk Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Gureler Y. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.9:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Umraniyespor - Gençlerbirliği 3:3
    14.01.2024 Umraniyespor - Gençlerbirliği 1:1
    13.08.2023 Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor 2:1
    Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor35239379:245578
    2Amedspor34218575:344171
    3Erokspor341910577:324567
    4Corum35197955:371864
    5Bodrumspor35188969:363362
    6Pendikspor351513754:312358
    7Keciorengucu351412967:402754
    8Bandirmaspor3514111043:331053
    9Sivasspor3513111144:38650
    10Manisa FK351471450:54-449
    11Igdir FK351391347:48-148
    12Vanspor FK3512101348:40846
    13Sariyer351371541:41046
    14Istanbulspor AS3510131243:52-943
    15Boluspor351261752:54-242
    16Umraniyespor341261640:42-242
    17Serik Spor351061939:69-3036
    18Sakaryaspor34891743:60-1733
    19Hatayspor35172727:96-6910
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 35133120:152-132-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to