Gençlerbirliği vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Eryaman Stadium (Ankara).

1. Lig - Round 33
Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.70	1.94
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
82% (323/394)	82% (327/401)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70	1.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.77	1.40
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
9	9
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
30	19
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
10	10
Passes
82% (323/394)	82% (327/401)
Long passes
41% (15/37)	37% (16/43)
Passes in final third
71% (91/128)	69% (61/88)
Crosses
39% (9/23)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.51	0.84
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
53% (8/15)	53% (10/19)
Duels won
53	53
Clearances Total
18	27
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
1.40	0.77
Goals prevented
0.40	-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Nalepa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Onur S. ↓, Etebo P. ↑,
50', Benny (Pen),
54', Leo Gaucho ↓, Popa D. ↑,
54', Nalepa M. ↓, Cagiran B. ↑,
57', Babacan A. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Soukou C. ⚽, Babacan A. (A),
64', Kabak A. ↓, Okyar M. ↑,
66', Yildirim P. ↓, Celik B. ↑,
73', Joao L. 🟥,
77', Babacan A. ↓, Uzum F. ↑,
82', Babacan A. ↓, Djokanovic A. ↑,
82', Yildirim O. ↓, Eser M. ↑,
88', Soukou C. ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Osmanoglu S. ⚽,
90+1', Oksuz B. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Popa D. ⚽, Uzum F. (A),
90+7', Mimaroglu M. 🟨,
90+9', Cavare D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gençlerbirliği
54.5%

Draw
25.2%

Umraniyespor
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

25.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.82)	3.66 ↑ (3.57)	4.61 ↑ (3.94)	7.4% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gençlerbirliği will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gençlerbirliği will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 1.
Recent matches Gençlerbirliği is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Umraniyespor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Gençlerbirliği is a favorite.
There will not play in Umraniyespor: Djokanovic A. (Injury) Kocaturk Y. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Gureler Y. (Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.9:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 2:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Gençlerbirliği won against Umraniyespor?

Gençlerbirliği has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Gençlerbirliği?

Umraniyespor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor were as follows:

01.12.2024 Umraniyespor - Gençlerbirliği 3:3

14.01.2024 Umraniyespor - Gençlerbirliği 1:1

13.08.2023 Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor 2:1

Latest results of Gençlerbirliği

06.04.2025 Ankaragücü - Gençlerbirliği 0:3 ✺

28.03.2025 Gençlerbirliği - Şanlıurfaspor 1:0 ✺

16.03.2025 İstanbulspor - Gençlerbirliği 5:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Gençlerbirliği - Çorum 1:2 ✺

04.03.2025 Amed SK - Gençlerbirliği 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Umraniyespor

06.04.2025 Umraniyespor - Pendikspor 0:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Igdirspor - Umraniyespor 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Umraniyespor - Boluspor 1:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Yeni Malatyaspor - Umraniyespor 0:5 ✺

06.03.2025 Umraniyespor - Kocaelispor 1:1 ✺

Turkish First League Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	38	23	12	3	82:27	55	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	39	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	46	74
4	Corum	38	21	8	9	63:39	24	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	32	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	25	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	30	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	13	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	1	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	4	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	2	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	0	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	-2	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	5	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	4	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	-4	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	-31	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	-27	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	-69	14
20	Adana Demirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-147	-54

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation