Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Soloa F. ⚽,
- 11', 🟨,
- 23', 🟨,
- 33', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético de Rafaela 58.9% | Draw 28.1% | General San Martín de Formosa 13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+2%)
Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↓ (1.64) |
3.25 (3.25) |
6.97 ↑ (5.58) |
9.8% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): General San Martín de Formosa will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ))
- Atlético Rafaela is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- San Martín Formosa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Atlético Rafaela will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético de Rafaela won against General San Martín de Formosa?
Atlético de Rafaela has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has General San Martín de Formosa won against Atlético de Rafaela?
General San Martín de Formosa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa were as follows:
07.12.2025
General San Martín de Formosa
-
Atlético de Rafaela
0:1
26.07.2025
General San Martín de Formosa
-
Atlético de Rafaela
0:0
13.06.2025
Atlético de Rafaela
-
General San Martín de Formosa
1:1
13.04.2025
General San Martín de Formosa
-
Atlético de Rafaela
1:1
Latest results of Atlético de Rafaela
Latest results of General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
2026Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Defensores Belgrano VR | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | El Linqueno | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Sportivo Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 8 | Atletico Escobar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Gimnasia E.R | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Chivilcoy | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Juventud Antoniana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Defensores de Vilelas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Tucuman Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bartolome Mitre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Boca Unidos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | San Martin Formosa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Costa Brava | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 5 |
| 2 | Juventud U.U | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cipolletti | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | San Martin Mendoza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 4 |
| 6 | Biblioteca Atenas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Huracan Las Heras | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 8 | Argentino MM | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Fundacion Amigos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Sol de Mayo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Alvarado | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Villa Mitre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Circulo Deportivo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | Germinal | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Guillermo Brown | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )