Atlético de Rafaela vs General San Martín de Formosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
167
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Soloa F. ,
  • 11', 🟨,
  • 23', 🟨,
  • 33', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
58.9%
Draw
28.1%
General San Martín de Formosa
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 28.1% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 26% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.64)
    3.25
    (3.25)
    6.97
    (5.58)
    9.8%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): General San Martín de Formosa will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ))
    • Atlético Rafaela is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • San Martín Formosa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Atlético Rafaela will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa were as follows:
    07.12.2025 General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela 0:1
    26.07.2025 General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela 0:0
    13.06.2025 Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa 1:1
    13.04.2025 General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela 1:1
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig33008:449
    2Independiente Chivilcoy32017:436
    3Defensores Belgrano VR32017:526
    4El Linqueno32014:406
    5Sportivo Belgrano31203:035
    69 de Julio Rafaela31114:6-24
    7Sportivo Las Parejas30212:3-12
    8Atletico Escobar30123:5-21
    9Gimnasia E.R30122:5-31
    10Chivilcoy30121:5-41


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana22005:236
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre31111:104
    5Sol de America21012:203
    6Boca Unidos31025:6-13
    7San Martin Formosa21012:3-13
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda30122:5-31


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava31204:135
    2Juventud U.U31203:125
    3Deportivo Rincon21104:224
    4Cipolletti31115:414
    5San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    6Biblioteca Atenas21013:213
    7Huracan Las Heras30211:3-22
    8Argentino MM30210:2-22
    9Fundacion Amigos20112:5-31


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca22004:046
    2Sol de Mayo31203:125
    3Kimberley31201:015
    4Alvarado31112:204
    5Villa Mitre21012:113
    6Circulo Deportivo21012:3-13
    7Germinal30212:3-12
    8Santamarina30212:4-22
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )